TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,848,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,588,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,848,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0f58…0ff0backed No1c111,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick25cpaid+150.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked No1c98,322$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.2550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa372…1b3ebacked No1c30,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Yes76c25,299$19,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,121.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked No2c21,750$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.39185.6%1 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+530.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc2c…a874backed No1c20,247$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb704…dc1ebacked No0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No3c18,501$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…a303backed No2c17,622$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8795…7544backed Yes74c15,689$11,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b1…1846backed No1c14,952$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae0…1472backed Yes75c13,258$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19de…442fbacked No1c13,196$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No1c12,101$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.41156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e9…8b44backed Yes68c12,097$8,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,895.72742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c5…07aabacked No1c12,092$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked No3c11,402$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa262…c93abacked No1c11,395$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858b…b832backed No3c10,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73be…9a59backed No1c8,517$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b51…5868backed No7c8,306$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.6440%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No2c7,863$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.964629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes70c6,799$4,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.01911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-84.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64e7…fc5bbacked Yes71c6,727$4,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc64…609ebacked No1c6,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…f0d0backed No1c6,472$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b7…f9e3backed No3c6,220$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes74c6,174$4,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.941643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x207f…30d3backed No1c6,087$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2076…4dc1backed No34c6,075$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.4360%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0da…1f3cbacked No5c6,002$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No8c5,853$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.951513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes79c5,831$4,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.58944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368b…2458backed Yes78c5,552$4,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes73c5,375$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.27723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed No4c5,138$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.97425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes69c5,111$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.3816250.6%82 W · 80 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed No7c5,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5067…64d8backed No2c4,888$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ff…55bdbacked No33c4,542$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No1c4,492$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2660%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca41…3af9backed No1c4,283$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed No1c4,237$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.421136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+87.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6093…ae61backed No3c4,121$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes77c4,000$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.521241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7c…ef52backed No9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7011…c6dabacked Yes73c3,892$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…d6bbbacked No1c3,497$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371f…9908backed No3c3,096$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No4c3,023$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Yes73c3,016$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.731546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x673d…26d4backed No1c3,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b92…42e6backed Yes67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1838…fb4ebacked No3c2,983$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8df…dce7backed No3c2,978$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes72c2,864$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.464434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed No10c2,805$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5660%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ef…bdfebacked No6c2,803$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5518…46c8backed No2c2,784$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ab…88f1backed No5c2,726$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a1…d308backed Yes76c2,695$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df4…b564backed No6c2,672$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf86…7d31backed No2c2,607$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc15…d576backed No20c2,562$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No7c2,559$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.685944.1%26 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes76c2,553$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.9716334.4%56 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ca…6e50backed No3c2,309$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5850%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked No1c2,287$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.071478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…dbaabacked No3c2,139$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf526…55c8backed No2c2,114$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.22714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db7…c901backed Yes74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Yes69c1,987$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes76c1,980$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.651275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e1…fbf4backed No3c1,953$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9150%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked No3c1,905$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4940%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace4…70acbacked No1c1,857$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a27…6c56backed No3c1,750$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No5c1,729$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.847842.3%33 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea2…de4cbacked No1c1,710$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ac…ba11backed No1c1,700$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+359%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No5c1,687$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.561540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae8…0e50backed No1c1,665$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…15b9backed No1c1,602$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No1c1,600$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes73c1,571$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.371233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c14…805bbacked No5c1,570$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid-21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97af…ca07backed No5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd251…d611backed No10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x881c…0d72backed No1c1,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ed…8e91backed No7c1,494$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffd…62d6backed No3c1,479$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb940…d1febacked No28c1,442$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40140%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033d…af05backed Yes77c1,405$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.41944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes72c1,301$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a12…9d86backed No1c1,294$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes70c1,266$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af7…7fe5backed No2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf29e…1d0ebacked No1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a18…f433backed No4c1,160$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88e7…5e37backed No3c1,129$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.