TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ffd…62d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Sabres vs. Starsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.28
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+100%+$40
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$63.63
Lightning vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+127.2%+$48.33
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$33.83
Wild vs. Flamesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Red Wings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$87.5
Stars vs. Rangersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+170.3%+$51.08
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+185.7%+$92.86
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+26.3%+$58.84
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$45
Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+221.6%+$288.04
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+249.3%+$144.57
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$48.95
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+177.8%+$42.67
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+400%+$104
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+156.4%+$39.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs B8 (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.