La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c9a5b46f0505b0a20a0d9c0eeb057a57ce0547eef18573bc3b31cfd6df95f1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 24c | 70,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,200.51 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 28,044$17,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,081.04 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 13,066$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.46 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 62c | 12,846$7,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,964.71 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 12,676$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.19 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 39c | 9,026$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,461.68 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 73c | 5,360$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.77 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 3,064$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.47 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 25c | 3,016$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.87 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 38c | 2,988$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.26 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…5295backed Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.79 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 1,563$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.24 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 36c | 1,191$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.91 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 79c | 1,150$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.6 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 71c | 1,097$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.22 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 1,088$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.77 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked Yes | 37c | 986.84$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 940.31$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.87 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 937.02$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.42 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 25c | 891.3$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.48 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 66c | 825$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 694.75$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.19 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 38c | 645.58$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.09 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 66c | 606.2$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 62c | 538.81$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 38c | 518.42$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 29c | 499.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3a…2e05backed Yes | 38c | 400.71$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 38c | 399.35$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.61 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 61c | 390$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 73c | 375$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 364$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.68 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 5c | 362$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 36c | 356.28$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.02 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 44c | 351.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.44 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed No | 64c | 340.63$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 62c | 328.84$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 80c | 327.02$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 33c | 322.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 62c | 322$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.40per pick | 55cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Yes | 19c | 320$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.4 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 62c | 318.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 22c | 301.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 16c | 290.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 36c | 277.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 61c | 275.13$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.83 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 37c | 270.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…2e6cbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedc…f590backed Yes | 37c | 267.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…1bbcbacked Yes | 39c | 257.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 62c | 241$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 65c | 239.92$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 5c | 237.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.34 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 226.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Yes | 66c | 218.05$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Yes | 66c | 214.47$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 66c | 199.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf495…de66backed Yes | 71c | 176.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes | 33c | 160$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 37c | 144$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed Yes | 40c | 140$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…95f7backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 36c | 134.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 63c | 131.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 22c | 127.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4557backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 37c | 124.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked No | 62c | 121$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 61c | 121$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Yes | 37c | 113.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 61c | 105.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5270backed Yes | 59c | 101.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…1eb7backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Real Sociedad vs. Villarreal end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.