TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3304…7048

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$17.37
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25%+$6.25
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$46.51
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+31.7%+$26.9
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+31.7%+$21.85
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
76ers vs. Nets: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16.47
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$8.41
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$19.31
Bulls vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneylinebacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$22.81
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+26.1%+$9.64
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+43.2%+$7.98
76ers vs. Bucks: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.47
Celtics vs. Nets: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2075%15 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Texans: 1H Moneylinebacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+30.9%+$50.57
Broncos vs. Commanders: 1H Moneylinebacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bills vs. Steelers: 1H Moneylinebacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: 1H Moneylinebacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+49.4%+$61.76
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: 1H Moneylinebacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Packers vs. Lions: 1H Moneylinebacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$21.08
Panthers vs. 49ers: 1H Moneylinebacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+37%+$9.33
Buccaneers vs. Rams: 1H Moneylinebacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$12.24
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$23.76
Seahawks vs. Titans: 1H Moneylinebacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$7.61
Bills vs. Texans: 1H Moneylinebacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$55.55
Cowboys vs. Raiders: 1H Moneylinebacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.1%+$22.11
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 20 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7.29
Wyoming vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$35.4
Northwestern vs. Illinoisbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan Statebacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$35
UL Monroe vs. Louisianabacked UL Monroe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$33.27
Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Army vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+113.3%+$22.67
Penn State vs. Rutgersbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Missouri vs. Arkansasbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+71.1%+$17.78
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+41.3%+$30.44
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Boise State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4.62
Iowa vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: 1H Moneylinebacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Michigan State vs. Iowabacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Missouri vs. Oklahoma: 1H Moneylinebacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+90.4%+$13.57
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.68
Boise State Broncos vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20.52
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+73.8%+$18.45
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$16.21
Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Denver Pioneers vs. Wyoming Cowboysbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$15
Bucknell Bison vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+29.4%+$19.13
Towson Tigers vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rhode Island Rams vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+32.7%+$5.55
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Bucknell Bison vs. Bowling Green Falconsbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Towson Tigers vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.51
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chile win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.