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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Le Havre AC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,553 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No73c16,093$11,821 inWon+$4,271.3762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes10c9,245$938 inLost-$938.231,46441%600 W · 864 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c7,480$5,358 inLost-$5,358.051,95145.2%882 W · 1,069 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No35c6,881$2,410 inWon+$4,471.4137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes76c5,709$4,319 inLost-$4,319.3910752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost-$999.963836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes27c1,481$400 inLost-$4007233.3%24 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Yes9c1,329$122 inLost-$122.263243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No45c907.89$407 inWon+$500.6635557.2%203 W · 152 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes51c687.87$348 inLost-$348.3671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No74c600$444 inWon+$15633938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes6c511.34$30 inLost-$30.3126040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No74c500$370 inWon+$13031049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed Yes52c455.58$237 inLost-$236.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Yes10c449.71$46 inLost-$45.631650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No36c390$139 inWon+$250.583562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes4c314.07$13 inLost-$12.562626.9%7 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+92.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No74c271.46$200 inWon+$71.1723151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes27c255.56$69 inLost-$691612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes56c250$140 inLost-$139.820232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x680b…276abacked Yes13c196.12$25 inLost-$25.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost-$1001275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No73c164$120 inWon+$44.2810948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost-$259641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No73c149.56$109 inWon+$40.3823153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No74c144.23$107 inWon+$37.657252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes76c131.58$100 inLost-$1005366%35 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes14c113.43$15 inLost-$15.362528%7 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Yes11c109.09$12 inLost-$123030%9 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f1…e5a1backed Yes11c92.21$10 inLost-$10.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c75$50 inWon+$24.757068.6%48 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No26c75$20 inWon+$55.526960.6%163 W · 106 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No74c70$52 inWon+$18.26648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c70$18 inLost-$18.214337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3304…7048backed Yes75c45.65$34 inLost-$34.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes25c44$11 inLost-$1122927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No74c40.55$30 inWon+$10.551788.2%15 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick75cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No48c39$19 inWon+$20.193743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes71c38$27 inLost-$26.9835650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed No77c34.25$26 inWon+$7.896100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No74c30$22 inWon+$7.827046.3%125 W · 145 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3c…e863backed No63c23.9$15 inWon+$8.811346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes58c23.76$14 inLost-$13.766854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.