Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b96fb2990c22154379ff67e2a62aec1fc11b522664394c70c1f37e3bec99343
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 23,103$6,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,905.21 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 13,394$9,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.26 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 74c | 7,610$5,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.56 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 967.71$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.34 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 4c | 893.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 80c | 778$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 21c | 675.72$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 670.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 34c | 473.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 457.27$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 65c | 441.37$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.96 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 22c | 422.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 21c | 381.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 19c | 334.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 35c | 314$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 280.55$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 36c | 244.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 22c | 184.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 21c | 141.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 28c | 89.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 74c | 75.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 80c | 36.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed No | 70c | 36.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…1ebabacked Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 70c | 26.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.