Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08c580d0b349f30c0504a1285c851ac836475a6dbfd80b4e63f0d09a8d92c046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 31c | 19,999$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.09 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 47c | 9,924$4,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.28 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 51cpaid | -80%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 47c | 9,194$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.18 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 12c | 7,659$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.17 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 6,471$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.35 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 53c | 5,097$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.41 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 4,237$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.56 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 54c | 3,905$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.57 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 2,645$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.76 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 2,177$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.13 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 12c | 1,743$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,438$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.86 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 47c | 1,234$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 51c | 990$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 51c | 971.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 901.67$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.46 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 77c | 745.52$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.25 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 596.44$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.82 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 47c | 505.2$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 47c | 505.2$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 72c | 409.84$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 24c | 290$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes | 54c | 280.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 224.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 55c | 223.95$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.78 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.19 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 47c | 214.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 26c | 202.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 55c | 178.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes | 44c | 142.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 50c | 124.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 48c | 97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked Yes | 53c | 94.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Yes | 54c | 93.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 13c | 81.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 51c | 78.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…09ddbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 35c | 53.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 46c | 46.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 53c | 46.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 64c | 46.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 38c | 42.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 51c | 36.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…dddbbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 53c | 33.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 33.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…c02abacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 70c | 18.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.