TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92ab…2b99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+65.4%+$34.4
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+267.6%+$53.52
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$511.52
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+88.5%+$168.26
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.62
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$67.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Imperial (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$48.7
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Vitality (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+244.8%+$56.8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+392.9%+$223.12
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$77.7
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.5%+$45.32
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$62.4
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+144.2%+$248
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+85.5%+$102.57
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$143.19
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$81.18
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+51.5%+$31.41
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40.55
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Everton win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+233.3%+$140
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$100
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+212.5%+$70.13
Will Manchester City vs. Leeds United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$84.56
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$98.07
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.44per pick39cpaid+100.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+91.7%+$140.46
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Lions (-1.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$58.8
Stars vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$102
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.