Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b92d04ea819a1364a556ef53075d85d6eaf05b7e8c21b164a615ba44120dd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Nongshim Red Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nongshim Red Force | 18c | 30,334$5,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,533.29 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nongshim Red Force | 21c | 13,174$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.39 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed T1 | 74c | 6,723$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.73 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Nongshim Red Force | 21c | 5,714$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.67 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nongshim Red Force | 16c | 4,872$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.67 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Nongshim Red Force | 12c | 4,272$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.68 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed T1 | 70c | 3,500$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Nongshim Red Force | 21c | 3,400$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.86 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 37c | 3,394$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nongshim Red Force | 21c | 3,004$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.35 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nongshim Red Force | 17c | 2,744$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.46 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Nongshim Red Force | 9c | 2,570$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.91 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 2,322$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.87 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Nongshim Red Force | 34c | 2,288$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim Red Force | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 1,880$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.39 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 1,800$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 1,659$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.56 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed T1 | 66c | 1,400$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed T1 | 70c | 1,400$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…8a09backed Nongshim Red Force | 20c | 1,312$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.43 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 1,301$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.54 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 17c | 1,170$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed T1 | 76c | 1,025$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Nongshim Red Force | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 292 | 36%105 W · 187 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Nongshim Red Force | 17c | 979.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 212 | 49.1%104 W · 108 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 947.34$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nongshim Red Force | 43c | 938.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 911.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.26 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Nongshim Red Force | 10c | 899.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed T1 | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 247 | 50.6%125 W · 122 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked T1 | 79c | 777$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed T1 | 49c | 699.08$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.64 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked T1 | 80c | 687.36$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x954d…8db6backed T1 | 80c | 670$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nongshim Red Force | 18c | 655$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Nongshim Red Force | 20c | 645$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1011backed Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 638.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed T1 | 75c | 602$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 572.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 17c | 568.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed T1 | 68c | 533.89$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.44 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…faecbacked Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 511.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 504.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…9af8backed T1 | 78c | 502.31$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Nongshim Red Force | 18c | 499.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Nongshim Red Force | 36c | 480$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Nongshim Red Force | 8c | 414.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…fdf9backed T1 | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 526 | 50.8%267 W · 259 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Nongshim Red Force | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked T1 | 47c | 370.74$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.74 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…90f6backed Nongshim Red Force | 20c | 355$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Nongshim Red Force | 21c | 350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Nongshim Red Force | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x031c…0fefbacked Nongshim Red Force | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed T1 | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked T1 | 70c | 286.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…60afbacked T1 | 76c | 264.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Nongshim Red Force | 26c | 262.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…7345backed T1 | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 195 | 41%80 W · 115 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…994fbacked T1 | 75c | 230$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed T1 | 67c | 216$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Nongshim Red Force | 48c | 211.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Nongshim Red Force | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed T1 | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…2108backed T1 | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Nongshim Red Force | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed T1 | 78c | 199.97$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Nongshim Red Force | 28c | 192.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Nongshim Red Force | 33c | 183$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…cf93backed T1 | 61c | 173$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed T1 | 74c | 172.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…fad0backed T1 | 75c | 158.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim Red Force | 20c | 150.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…9bc5backed Nongshim Red Force | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Nongshim Red Force | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed T1 | 46c | 130.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafad…623bbacked T1 | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 23c | 126.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 124$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Nongshim Red Force | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 293 | 35.2%103 W · 190 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…a51dbacked Nongshim Red Force | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed T1 | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…5c34backed Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Nongshim Red Force | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed T1 | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Nongshim Red Force | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed T1 | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1753backed T1 | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim Red Force | 41c | 96.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed Nongshim Red Force | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed T1 | 69c | 92.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nongshim Red Force | 19c | 87.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…978bbacked T1 | 78c | 87.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.