TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf808…6e99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
268
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$12.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$29.41
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$24.95
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$24.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Team Arise (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.67
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$43.69
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT5750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.46
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$94.9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$20
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+27.1%+$6.4
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18.2
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+50.3%+$36.22
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+113.7%+$53.2
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$51.3
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+46.1%+$41
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$56
LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$177.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-60.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.55
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.9%+$176.99
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$337
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+57.8%+$219.18
Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$270.12
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$173.6
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+46.7%+$245.43
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.17
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$242
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$229.98
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+42.2%+$141.73
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+83.4%+$236.39
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will South Africa vs. Cameroon end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$264.99
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+32.3%+$91.92
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$128.6
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+29.9%+$13.99
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+69.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$7.56
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+127.3%+$381.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.