CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dcc36051476b29ddaf9227cb004beab8239d6123f03759b11cc4afeb7537f30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof MOUZ, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $872,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,059,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $872,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed Spirit | 71c | 64,989$46,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,846.69 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed MOUZ | 29c | 45,000$13,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,049.9 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit | 70c | 38,985$27,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,695.49 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed MOUZ | 29c | 30,938$8,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,957.17 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spirit | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed MOUZ | 32c | 30,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.92 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Spirit | 69c | 25,394$17,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,891.74 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked MOUZ | 32c | 25,000$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,049.97 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed MOUZ | 30c | 22,120$6,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,636.09 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Spirit | 70c | 21,429$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,428.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 31c | 20,079$6,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,226.13 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked MOUZ | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.98 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 69c | 19,913$13,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,173.08 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked MOUZ | 26c | 19,334$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,936.47 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ | 18c | 15,107$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.17 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500.01 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.37 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ | 30c | 14,300$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 30c | 12,135$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658.58 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed MOUZ | 11c | 11,107$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.66 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ | 31c | 10,752$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked MOUZ | 33c | 10,666$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.85 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ | 32c | 10,414$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.47 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…3eacbacked MOUZ | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 29c | 10,000$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.97 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked MOUZ | 30c | 9,746$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.67 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ | 18c | 9,665$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.86 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Spirit | 67c | 9,300$6,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Spirit | 67c | 8,458$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.26 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 8c | 8,446$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.08 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked MOUZ | 12c | 8,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Spirit | 67c | 7,983$5,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.63 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spirit | 70c | 7,848$5,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.29 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 22c | 7,727$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.09 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Spirit | 69c | 7,378$5,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.33 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked MOUZ | 23c | 7,000$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.05 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked MOUZ | 30c | 6,880$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.08 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked MOUZ | 31c | 6,461$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…189dbacked MOUZ | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 30c | 5,948$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.43 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Spirit | 70c | 5,656$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.85 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Spirit | 71c | 5,352$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.11 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked MOUZ | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Spirit | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked MOUZ | 30c | 4,903$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked MOUZ | 31c | 4,786$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.69 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Spirit | 73c | 4,763$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.6 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed MOUZ | 14c | 4,635$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.64 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Spirit | 75c | 4,545$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.3 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Spirit | 71c | 4,225$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.35 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ | 30c | 4,086$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.74 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed MOUZ | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed MOUZ | 30c | 3,928$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.25 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…14febacked Spirit | 67c | 3,850$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.49 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Spirit | 68c | 3,655$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.46 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Spirit | 68c | 3,531$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.86 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…959abacked Spirit | 78c | 3,314$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.8 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed MOUZ | 3c | 3,300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Spirit | 67c | 3,250$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked MOUZ | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Spirit | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Spirit | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Spirit | 71c | 2,834$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.24 | 179 | 67.6%121 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Spirit | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked MOUZ | 30c | 2,763$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,626$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.78 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked MOUZ | 30c | 2,613$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.88 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Spirit | 67c | 2,529$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.7 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Spirit | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.99 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…a63ebacked Spirit | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked MOUZ | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.99 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…8e52backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,485$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Spirit | 67c | 2,261$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.89 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Spirit | 66c | 2,246$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.8 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…da59backed MOUZ | 32c | 2,212$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…ab32backed MOUZ | 32c | 2,206$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed MOUZ | 31c | 2,200$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…f51cbacked Spirit | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…ee6dbacked MOUZ | 30c | 2,029$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked MOUZ | 30c | 2,007$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.1 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed MOUZ | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked MOUZ | 1c | 1,982$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ | 30c | 1,964$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.1 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Spirit | 71c | 1,963$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.27 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked MOUZ | 8c | 1,934$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…338bbacked MOUZ | 6c | 1,933$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…8cc2backed MOUZ | 7c | 1,912$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Spirit | 75c | 1,863$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.84 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +16.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,840$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit | 70c | 1,817$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.14 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 13c | 1,795$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.34 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 30c | 1,755$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316b…5d97backed MOUZ | 32c | 1,698$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,692$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.