CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a38c6a2d0e572bd40099a2a10ac484db5858fef94cd9653df0bb80b50909b08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 41c | 12,500$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,326.33 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked MOUZ | 58c | 11,023$6,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,382.86 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.88 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked MOUZ | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.95 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 42c | 6,427$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.43 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Spirit | 41c | 6,030$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.73 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 40c | 5,737$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.42 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5827backed Spirit | 42c | 4,680$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed MOUZ | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ | 58c | 3,446$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.68 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Spirit | 42c | 2,857$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.14 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spirit | 41c | 2,572$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.36 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Spirit | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked MOUZ | 58c | 2,158$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.35 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed MOUZ | 60c | 2,090$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Spirit | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed MOUZ | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ | 60c | 1,850$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 41c | 1,800$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed Spirit | 43c | 1,621$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.93 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,500$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed Spirit | 42c | 1,177$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.07 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Spirit | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Spirit | 43c | 1,057$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.48 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…a999backed Spirit | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 58c | 888$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.04 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 63c | 887.53$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.82 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Spirit | 32c | 827.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.03 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed Spirit | 37c | 680$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…7bd9backed MOUZ | 59c | 656.24$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 55c | 651.21$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.11 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 57c | 645.11$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.71 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Spirit | 32c | 612.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.83 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Spirit | 42c | 610.24$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.24 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed MOUZ | 59c | 514.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.84 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Spirit | 43c | 501.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.14 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Spirit | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked MOUZ | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Spirit | 42c | 497.62$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.62 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Spirit | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed MOUZ | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Spirit | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 54c | 399.17$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.55 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Spirit | 43c | 395.35$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.35 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed MOUZ | 58c | 378$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Spirit | 41c | 350.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.95 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked MOUZ | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Spirit | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Spirit | 43c | 321.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Spirit | 42c | 305.31$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed MOUZ | 58c | 272.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Spirit | 42c | 255.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.45 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed MOUZ | 54c | 254.18$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Spirit | 43c | 250.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645f…2c7fbacked Spirit | 40c | 245.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Spirit | 41c | 244.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Spirit | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Spirit | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…9a56backed Spirit | 45c | 229.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Spirit | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked Spirit | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed MOUZ | 58c | 205.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed MOUZ | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Spirit | 43c | 175.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Spirit | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Spirit | 41c | 169.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Spirit | 40c | 165$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…b40ebacked Spirit | 43c | 162.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Spirit | 42c | 155.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 32c | 146.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Spirit | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6382…acbdbacked Spirit | 42c | 128.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Spirit | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Spirit | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 210 | 53.8%113 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…2632backed MOUZ | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +278.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Spirit | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Spirit | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed Spirit | 56c | 99.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Spirit | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Spirit | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Spirit | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…46b9backed Spirit | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Spirit | 42c | 84.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 83.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Spirit | 42c | 81.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MOUZ | 51c | 80.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed MOUZ | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked Spirit | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed MOUZ | 69c | 72.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Spirit | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…a229backed Spirit | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Spirit | 31c | 67.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c7ebacked Spirit | 41c | 65.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MOUZ | 58c | 63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Spirit | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.