CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ed71b23b8094d787bad3c907aa09ffb8c43c197178c1eb1616b7ca37d925fcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof MOUZ, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 68c | 21,801$14,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,070.31 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed MOUZ | 31c | 12,420$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.09 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 70c | 8,500$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.56 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spirit | 71c | 7,088$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.28 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 25c | 6,348$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.7 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 30c | 6,195$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.49 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed MOUZ | 13c | 5,809$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.43 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit | 64c | 5,506$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.18 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 37c | 5,242$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.84 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Spirit | 66c | 5,088$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.97 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked MOUZ | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ | 18c | 4,748$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.94 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ | 34c | 4,679$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.34 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ | 35c | 4,659$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.75 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed MOUZ | 34c | 4,620$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ | 18c | 4,437$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.1 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ | 17c | 3,649$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.32 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Spirit | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ | 36c | 3,311$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.5 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ | 36c | 3,086$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…89d7backed Spirit | 66c | 2,596$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed MOUZ | 32c | 2,460$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.73 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…c9c6backed Spirit | 69c | 2,289$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked MOUZ | 33c | 2,272$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 29c | 2,183$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.37 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Spirit | 70c | 2,156$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.13 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Spirit | 68c | 2,130$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.5 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked MOUZ | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed Spirit | 63c | 1,910$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.7 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,765$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Spirit | 65c | 1,583$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Spirit | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Spirit | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Spirit | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit | 70c | 1,433$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.65 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed MOUZ | 23c | 1,410$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.39 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked MOUZ | 10c | 1,262$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Spirit | 65c | 1,203$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.07 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,200$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.78 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Spirit | 71c | 1,199$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.29 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 64c | 1,176$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.29 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MOUZ | 36c | 1,150$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.02 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,071$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed MOUZ | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed MOUZ | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Spirit | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Spirit | 64c | 999.98$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.99 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Spirit | 59c | 988.67$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.35 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 61c | 977.2$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.11 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 36c | 966.91$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.09 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked MOUZ | 1c | 950$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 92 | 16.3%15 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked MOUZ | 34c | 835.7$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.14 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 60c | 750.01$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0935…d9efbacked Spirit | 71c | 732.07$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked MOUZ | 34c | 723.66$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.04 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed MOUZ | 7c | 713.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Spirit | 63c | 713.87$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.13 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed MOUZ | 34c | 696.57$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.64 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit | 69c | 685.19$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.73 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed MOUZ | 33c | 647.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed MOUZ | 13c | 535.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ | 22c | 530.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spirit | 64c | 510.1$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.84 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed MOUZ | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed Spirit | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Spirit | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Spirit | 68c | 468.26$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed MOUZ | 30c | 463.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.07 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked MOUZ | 3c | 453.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Spirit | 67c | 447.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed MOUZ | 33c | 436.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spirit | 69c | 433.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 27c | 414.63$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 33c | 405.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Spirit | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…bc06backed MOUZ | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Spirit | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Spirit | 63c | 389.45$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.2 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 34c | 379.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked MOUZ | 39c | 376.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed MOUZ | 35c | 375.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 14c | 371$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MOUZ | 33c | 368.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Spirit | 69c | 362.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…580abacked MOUZ | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked MOUZ | 3c | 349.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked MOUZ | 33c | 340.22$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spirit | 62c | 336$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked MOUZ | 19c | 333.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed MOUZ | 37c | 324.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Spirit | 70c | 323.84$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ | 31c | 314.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…7e85backed Spirit | 72c | 309.82$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Spirit | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +16.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Spirit | 65c | 304.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Spirit | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.