TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xecee…a577

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT8226.8%22 W · 60 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140.08
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,016
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,460
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.69
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$925
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,536.1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,224.67
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$1,090
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$3,116.1
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+123%+$2,405.14
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,459.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.12
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,697.36
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,337.49
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$561
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$855
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,349.54
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.2
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+541.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+541.4%+$806.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,494.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,023.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.