CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf503d0b1bc9cbca253451ad26d5a984aa845a2d229fbe52ad3e09cdc516da9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,069,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,822,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,069,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,658 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons | 58c | 391,792$227,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,266.25 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Spirit | 39c | 375,797$147,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,311.43 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Team Falcons | 43c | 278,152$118,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,891.31 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Spirit | 42c | 192,060$81,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,508.45 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 159,633$66,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,948.25 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 58c | 125,699$72,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,905.37 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 101,939$57,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,058.08 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Spirit | 52c | 100,000$51,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,858.69 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x175c…af21backed Spirit | 0c | 95,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Falcons | 59c | 91,947$54,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,307.37 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spirit | 59c | 80,000$47,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,199.93 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 38c | 79,389$30,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,167.88 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Team Falcons | 60c | 78,836$47,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,568.74 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Spirit | 38c | 65,000$24,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,450 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Spirit | 58c | 64,660$37,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,503.04 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 62,210$38,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,643.25 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 52c | 61,034$31,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,947.42 | 373 | 46.4%173 W · 200 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Team Falcons | 41c | 59,723$24,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,323.79 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Team Falcons | 41c | 53,242$21,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,530.38 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…96dfbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 51,479$31,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,077 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Spirit | 55c | 49,754$27,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,445.55 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Team Falcons | 41c | 47,329$19,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,130.67 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed Spirit | 60c | 46,632$27,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,979.22 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons | 42c | 45,102$18,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,316.32 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 56c | 44,683$24,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,997.01 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Spirit | 49c | 43,018$21,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,011.22 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons | 56c | 41,519$23,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,200.96 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Spirit | 60c | 41,048$24,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,531.22 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons | 46c | 35,742$16,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,158.08 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Falcons | 41c | 34,329$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,329.27 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed Team Falcons | 41c | 33,658$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,858.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Spirit | 56c | 31,219$17,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,372.01 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit | 60c | 31,175$18,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,772.33 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,100 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Spirit | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Spirit | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.79 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 52c | 29,949$15,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,403.66 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Spirit | 57c | 28,456$16,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,220 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Spirit | 60c | 27,554$16,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,551.24 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Falcons | 42c | 26,478$11,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,464.28 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Spirit | 49c | 25,092$12,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,186.65 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…6bc7backed Spirit | 1c | 25,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Team Falcons | 41c | 23,492$9,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,860.57 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…4adbbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 23,442$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,341.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Falcons | 39c | 22,222$8,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,555.38 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 42c | 21,500$8,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,575 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 41c | 21,318$8,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,625.48 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Team Falcons | 46c | 21,100$9,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,482.6 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 58c | 21,004$12,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,183.43 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed Team Falcons | 41c | 21,000$8,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,379.85 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Spirit | 58c | 20,380$11,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,820.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Falcons | 42c | 20,000$8,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,650 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Spirit | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Spirit | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Team Falcons | 39c | 18,833$7,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,448.15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Team Falcons | 42c | 18,756$7,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,917.83 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Spirit | 39c | 18,351$7,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,156.94 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spirit | 56c | 17,743$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Spirit | 61c | 16,230$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Spirit | 38c | 16,000$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Team Falcons | 42c | 15,928$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,238.45 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88b…19d9backed Spirit | 59c | 15,359$9,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,023.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons | 41c | 15,255$6,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,997.36 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 15,192$6,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,963.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Spirit | 49c | 15,036$7,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,353.66 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Spirit | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Team Falcons | 42c | 14,996$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,696.99 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 14,961$6,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,668.89 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafe…c5b5backed Spirit | 34c | 14,701$5,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,056.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spirit | 57c | 14,476$8,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,230 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 14,447$8,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,630.94 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 14,404$6,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,453.21 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spirit | 56c | 14,248$7,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,924.84 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 57c | 13,925$7,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000.44 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Team Falcons | 61c | 13,596$8,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322.21 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa819…8085backed Spirit | 56c | 13,555$7,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,590.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 13,370$5,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,788.29 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Team Falcons | 42c | 12,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.94 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spirit | 58c | 12,441$7,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,215.87 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit | 55c | 12,362$6,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.17 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed Team Falcons | 48c | 12,161$5,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,273.29 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…dbc4backed Spirit | 57c | 12,050$6,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,868.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Spirit | 61c | 12,034$7,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,340.57 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Team Falcons | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,959.92 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…f21abacked Spirit | 56c | 11,922$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Team Falcons | 56c | 11,741$6,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113.94 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 11,740$4,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020.52 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 11,687$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,828.96 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Team Falcons | 47c | 11,427$5,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,075.1 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Spirit | 69c | 11,179$7,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,657.72 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Spirit | 57c | 11,000$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Spirit | 55c | 10,975$6,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 10,657$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.34 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Falcons | 71c | 10,599$7,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.1 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 10,346$6,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.46 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Spirit | 36c | 10,202$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.9 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…3f1ebacked Spirit | 59c | 10,169$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Spirit | 48c | 10,070$4,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.2 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.