CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10c98ce9c1eb1743ee49e4fedb64ef52f87c7da30c6ab5f724319382f5dbae87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,729,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,174,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,729,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 946 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 53c | 49,593$26,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,428.89 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons | 48c | 48,556$23,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,092.11 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 48c | 43,359$20,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,713.71 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 33,413$16,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,228.23 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 29,908$14,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,800.29 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Spirit | 1c | 27,595$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.95 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Spirit | 54c | 26,968$14,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,575.02 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Spirit | 54c | 23,643$12,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,763.3 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 52c | 22,052$11,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,369.68 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Spirit | 1c | 20,230$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…2ae3backed Spirit | 1c | 20,230$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Spirit | 54c | 18,132$9,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,850.87 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c2…7b5abacked Spirit | 52c | 16,780$8,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,653.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Spirit | 54c | 16,412$8,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,840.68 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Falcons | 59c | 14,905$8,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,097.71 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spirit | 71c | 14,895$10,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,626.39 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked Spirit | 5c | 14,420$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons | 56c | 14,046$7,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,196.83 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…d9d6backed Spirit | 4c | 13,560$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…85dbbacked Spirit | 50c | 12,505$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spirit | 53c | 12,500$6,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,624.97 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked Spirit | 5c | 11,700$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spirit | 51c | 11,427$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820.93 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…30f7backed Spirit | 3c | 11,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 53c | 10,427$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.63 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Team Falcons | 47c | 10,001$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,341.24 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 9,958$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,340.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed Team Falcons | 46c | 9,400$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed Team Falcons | 46c | 9,228$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,981.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 46c | 9,144$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.76 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 8,928$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.23 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Spirit | 4c | 8,550$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Spirit | 31c | 8,062$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.81 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.99 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Spirit | 5c | 7,764$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.52 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Spirit | 39c | 7,714$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.31 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Team Falcons | 49c | 7,295$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720.6 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Spirit | 53c | 7,046$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.48 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Team Falcons | 35c | 6,721$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.32 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 46c | 6,522$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.47 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 6,409$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.74 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…faeabacked Spirit | 52c | 6,330$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 6,300$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Team Falcons | 46c | 6,173$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.39 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 50c | 6,015$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.65 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Team Falcons | 61c | 5,650$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.48 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 47c | 5,634$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.53 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 46c | 5,625$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.3 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 65c | 5,394$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Falcons | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.15 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Spirit | 53c | 5,100$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.5 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Spirit | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Spirit | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Falcons | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.94 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…b005backed Team Falcons | 61c | 4,922$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Team Falcons | 49c | 4,896$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.83 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons | 46c | 4,760$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.4 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 53c | 4,720$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.19 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Team Falcons | 47c | 4,688$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…d9f6backed Team Falcons | 46c | 4,551$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Spirit | 3c | 4,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf563…1338backed Team Falcons | 57c | 4,500$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba55…41f1backed Spirit | 44c | 4,457$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 4,444$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.47 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Team Falcons | 46c | 4,307$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.65 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Spirit | 51c | 4,220$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.18 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 51c | 4,080$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.94 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Team Falcons | 45c | 4,079$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.45 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Spirit | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab97…6b5ebacked Spirit | 37c | 3,881$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafe…c5b5backed Spirit | 55c | 3,694$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.88 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit | 42c | 3,634$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.28 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…1f66backed Spirit | 18c | 3,588$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Team Falcons | 47c | 3,574$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.47 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Spirit | 31c | 3,508$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.37 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Spirit | 44c | 3,425$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.66 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 3,370$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.57 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Spirit | 41c | 3,358$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.84 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed Spirit | 42c | 3,310$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.16 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 52c | 3,224$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.45 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8922backed Spirit | 29c | 3,108$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Team Falcons | 47c | 3,069$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Spirit | 41c | 3,050$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.68 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Spirit | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Spirit | 54c | 3,000$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.98 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.98 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Team Falcons | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Spirit | 41c | 3,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Spirit | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.98 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed Spirit | 51c | 2,954$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 43c | 2,911$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.72 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Falcons | 69c | 2,908$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Spirit | 69c | 2,839$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.7 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 2,823$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.92 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 54c | 2,800$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.99 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Spirit | 3c | 2,779$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 46c | 2,757$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.23 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.