TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba55…41f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT5743.9%25 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,785.71
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.5
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+175.6%+$4,179.62
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.9
Wimbledon ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Jan Choinskibacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.7
Wimbledon ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,825Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$2,275
Wimbledon ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Alexander Bublikbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,395
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,841Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$3,738.6
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$206.31
Wimbledon ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jaime Fariabacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,147.63
Wimbledon ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$774
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Aoi Itobacked Aoi Ito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,257.38
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$3,846.15
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tienbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.3
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,973Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+45%+$1,786.7
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,842
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,009.8
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Lola Radivojevic vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Lola Radivojevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,785.99
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.8
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Harriet Dartbacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,227.4
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sara Bejlek vs Laura Siegemundbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$676.8
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.4
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,527Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+436.2%+$6,662.56
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maddison Inglis vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Maddison Inglis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.41
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Emerson Jonesbacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,461.25
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,385.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$124.81
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,107
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,551.12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,977.22
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$831.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,749.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,070
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,837.44
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.36
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$861.84
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.28
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,707Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,287.85
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$147.93
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$573.49
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.28
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Tricksters - Map 2 Winnerbacked Tricksters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.91
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Bbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Counter-Strike: SAW vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-Inbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.2
Counter-Strike: Omega vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Bbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$442.18
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs OG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Play-Inbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+73.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+159.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+84.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,775Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$1,465.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$51.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andrey Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,706.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.