Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cad1c8347ba8a2f1ba85519e33e3e030e4f4e235583d71b828a25be163fadd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Tundra Esports, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $527,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $597,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 57c | 50,367$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,866.73 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 28,046$9,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,304.37 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 54c | 20,965$11,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,546.25 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 20,755$8,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,247.9 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 13,990$5,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,620.14 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 13,166$5,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,924.7 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 66c | 12,675$8,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.16 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 11,700$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.99 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 59c | 10,405$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.59 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.98 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 53c | 8,611$4,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.31 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 57c | 7,812$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.83 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 58c | 6,947$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.7 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 6,913$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.74 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Tundra Esports | 12c | 5,500$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.11 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 4,950$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.58 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Tundra Esports | 19c | 4,726$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.19 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Aurora | 68c | 4,500$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.82 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 63c | 4,395$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.33 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 58c | 4,338$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.87 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 4,166$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.45 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Aurora | 60c | 4,065$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 3,844$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.85 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 3,596$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.88 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 3,321$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.43 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 54c | 3,283$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.34 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 3,162$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.41 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Aurora | 65c | 3,076$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.85 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 3,038$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.9 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Aurora | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 2,997$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.68 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Aurora | 59c | 2,872$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.47 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 2,820$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Aurora | 56c | 2,791$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.7 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…d7cabacked Aurora | 74c | 2,719$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 65c | 2,585$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.61 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 2,508$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.52 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Tundra Esports | 14c | 2,493$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 2,450$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.5 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 2,414$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.59 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,265$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Tundra Esports | 13c | 2,049$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.22 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 2,000$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.48 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,944$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Aurora | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 1,824$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.22 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 75c | 1,774$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.47 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,757$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.86 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 64c | 1,750$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,727$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.44 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 1,718$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.61 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 56c | 1,570$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.8 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 57c | 1,567$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.62 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 62c | 1,539$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.26 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Aurora | 66c | 1,528$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.48 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,505$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.04 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 1,500$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 1,500$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.49 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tundra Esports | 14c | 1,498$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Aurora | 68c | 1,479$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.37 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…bcd7backed Tundra Esports | 8c | 1,454$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Aurora | 65c | 1,436$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.6 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,433$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.98 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 1,375$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 1,374$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.49 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 73c | 1,360$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.53 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,357$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.65 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Aurora | 70c | 1,312$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.12 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ed…c1e5backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,310$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Tundra Esports | 12c | 1,304$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 1,300$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 1,275$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.71 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 1,199$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.74 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Tundra Esports | 15c | 1,193$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,174$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…224fbacked Aurora | 78c | 1,172$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Aurora | 52c | 1,153$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.48 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Aurora | 69c | 1,142$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.14 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora | 76c | 1,132$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 1,122$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 77c | 1,088$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.59 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,085$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.91 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Aurora | 65c | 1,081$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.93 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…8e22backed Tundra Esports | 3c | 1,070$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Aurora | 60c | 1,054$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.45 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked Aurora | 58c | 1,020$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 70c | 1,018$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.92 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 1,007$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.37 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed Aurora | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.