CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ecaecae2f655c4a65f200c89ad513cb09e3459905682318102f67ad83f0ee7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof FURIA, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,723,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,176,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,723,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed FURIA | 13c | 271,093$36,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,300.67 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed FURIA | 41c | 269,038$110,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,305.59 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Team Falcons | 59c | 199,999$118,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,999.75 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed FURIA | 27c | 183,752$49,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,212.52 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed FURIA | 40c | 177,039$70,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,749.99 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked FURIA | 40c | 149,999$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,999.76 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked FURIA | 23c | 147,266$34,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,424.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked FURIA | 26c | 132,470$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed FURIA | 42c | 122,495$51,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,072.97 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked FURIA | 20c | 114,333$22,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,709.96 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 87,097$53,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,243.91 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…37f7backed Team Falcons | 60c | 82,444$49,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,977.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FURIA | 14c | 65,694$9,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,104.47 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed FURIA | 40c | 60,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.98 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Team Falcons | 59c | 59,897$35,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,568.4 | 230 | 43.9%101 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed FURIA | 40c | 55,726$22,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,289.45 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons | 60c | 54,309$32,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,723.6 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 50,141$29,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,582.55 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,500 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Team Falcons | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed FURIA | 41c | 48,780$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 60c | 47,583$28,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,233.31 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA | 42c | 44,274$18,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,544.67 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 40,000$23,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,803.34 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Team Falcons | 62c | 37,504$23,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,102.28 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a2…353abacked Team Falcons | 60c | 32,899$19,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,159.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa819…8085backed Team Falcons | 60c | 32,897$19,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,158.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Team Falcons | 60c | 32,514$19,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,005.55 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 60c | 29,542$17,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,816.79 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Falcons | 59c | 28,404$16,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,631.85 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked FURIA | 34c | 27,917$9,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,520 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90fb…e8b8backed FURIA | 41c | 26,336$10,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,797.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Team Falcons | 73c | 25,900$18,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,030.98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…28dfbacked FURIA | 12c | 25,018$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.21 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…4adbbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 23,507$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,506.53 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked FURIA | 24c | 23,411$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Falcons | 64c | 22,688$14,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.54 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed FURIA | 41c | 22,299$9,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,032.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed FURIA | 12c | 21,789$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons | 60c | 21,526$12,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,610.4 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA | 41c | 20,776$8,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,497.97 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed FURIA | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 59c | 20,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,299.97 | 332 | 32.2%107 W · 225 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed FURIA | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.97 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed FURIA | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.94 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Team Falcons | 58c | 20,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,299.91 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed FURIA | 18c | 19,825$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed Team Falcons | 58c | 19,500$11,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,189.87 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 59c | 18,633$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,633.33 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed FURIA | 41c | 18,583$7,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,618.84 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed FURIA | 29c | 18,004$5,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,266.15 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 18,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…369bbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 17,835$13,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,737.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Team Falcons | 73c | 17,634$12,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,782.48 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Team Falcons | 58c | 17,264$10,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,251.07 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed FURIA | 41c | 17,073$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked FURIA | 46c | 16,902$7,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,718.24 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed FURIA | 17c | 16,709$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.47 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked FURIA | 42c | 16,304$6,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,847.68 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed Team Falcons | 61c | 16,068$9,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,314.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed FURIA | 41c | 16,000$6,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,560 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed FURIA | 12c | 16,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Team Falcons | 58c | 16,000$9,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked FURIA | 12c | 15,865$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.88 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked FURIA | 41c | 15,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked FURIA | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.93 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FURIA | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.91 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9361…9c2bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 14,869$8,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,947.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed FURIA | 40c | 14,865$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,945.81 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Team Falcons | 59c | 14,630$8,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,998.14 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 14,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Team Falcons | 65c | 12,750$8,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA | 29c | 12,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.93 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Team Falcons | 60c | 12,498$7,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.13 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…03edbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 12,429$7,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 12,387$7,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.57 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 12,241$7,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.08 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed FURIA | 41c | 12,200$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.98 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Team Falcons | 65c | 12,164$7,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed FURIA | 41c | 12,069$4,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,948.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FURIA | 41c | 12,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.99 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked FURIA | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed FURIA | 37c | 12,000$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.99 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 11,900$7,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons | 60c | 11,667$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.67 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed FURIA | 7c | 11,571$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.81 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…7dadbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 11,546$6,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Team Falcons | 60c | 11,503$6,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.29 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 11,124$6,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560.91 | 367 | 53.7%197 W · 170 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked FURIA | 41c | 11,111$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.5 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked FURIA | 41c | 11,009$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,513.82 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA | 41c | 10,995$4,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,483.55 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…d177backed Team Falcons | 60c | 10,937$6,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,374.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…284fbacked FURIA | 6c | 10,570$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa217…a940backed Team Falcons | 60c | 10,173$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Falcons | 59c | 10,170$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.69 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…08cbbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 10,169$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Falcons | 59c | 10,011$5,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.39 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Falcons | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed FURIA | 9c | 10,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.98 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.