CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20b065016231fb71d7839fc2198e9df8007af70491e69d9f0156cf38cbd80e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.33 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 48c | 5,547$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.44 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafe…c5b5backed Under | 52c | 5,320$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Under | 49c | 1,009$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.44 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 51c | 999.6$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.8 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Under | 46c | 937$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.98 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 53c | 878.91$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.5 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Under | 49c | 531.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.99 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 46c | 518.3$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 47c | 500.1$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 52c | 392.57$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 348.44$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.54 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…8e4bbacked Over | 46c | 313.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Under | 33c | 201.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Over | 50c | 199.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…68d4backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Under | 50c | 188$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7b…bfeebacked Over | 49c | 147.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Under | 25c | 145.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 48c | 142.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30a…fcd8backed Over | 46c | 141$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4800backed Over | 51c | 137.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…f362backed Under | 48c | 133.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…1a40backed Under | 50c | 119.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…7678backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 46c | 94.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…bdd8backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Over | 46c | 85.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…f9d3backed Over | 46c | 84.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Over | 46c | 82.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…b37dbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…fd98backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Over | 46c | 64.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…8bcbbacked Over | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…f7b1backed Over | 53c | 47.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7153…99bfbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +144%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…0a71backed Over | 78c | 41.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…561abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…fed5backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…1919backed Over | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8662backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4660…2646backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…bf0cbacked Over | 50c | 36.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…84d4backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…a785backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a61…02d2backed Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 67c | 24.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…6556backed Over | 51c | 24.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…af69backed Under | 49c | 20.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…93a1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc8…d7e7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.