TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2d0…bf0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT6445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Omega (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group Abacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.25
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winnerbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.86
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$19.51
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.04
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.1
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.63
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.77
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.71
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.26
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winnerbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.42
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.63
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$34.63
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.43
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.82
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$68.97
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 2 Winnerbacked Roar Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$74.65
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.39
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.27
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.26
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$35.5
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$75.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Savannah: Alex Rybakov vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Alex Rybakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.