TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x13b8…d1afbacked 100 Thieves48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.972030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed 100 Thieves77c1,849$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.7214242.3%60 W · 82 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked K2731c1,709$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.3732832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked 100 Thieves7c1,227$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.371,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked K2735c1,023$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.862738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed K2717c1,013$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.617716.9%13 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed K2750c997.1$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.11,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2748c988.45$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.654,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed K2762c953.42$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.7745646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked K2723c884.01$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.736033.3%20 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked K2725c849.59$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3238358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3e…dd2abacked 100 Thieves50c814.45$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0111…1071backed K2712c800$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7042564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed K2741c727.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.0318748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe6b…e911backed K2721c673.84$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.491457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked K277c600$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55821519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed K2743c596.99$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.195,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed 100 Thieves44c590.44$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26040558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c6b…4d61backed K273c563.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.062128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+161%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x219a…f65bbacked K2718c563.56$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.185040%20 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked 100 Thieves63c499.99$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31420944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2740c463.01$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.546,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked 100 Thieves55c449.65$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8519150.3%96 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x455b…e3d7backed K2744c443.45$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.335354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 100 Thieves69c434.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.792,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed K2759c356.65$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9936446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked 100 Thieves56c355.43$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0437140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed 100 Thieves76c337.79$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4430153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked K2757c328.74$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.813,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked K2748c313.69$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6923249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed K2733c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20121247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed 100 Thieves48c299.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14437145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked K2752c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9915044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked K2736c285.81$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8914247.2%67 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed 100 Thieves51c284.12$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.955738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9044…dcedbacked K2743c283$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.576755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ccf…0c6ebacked K2748c280.54$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.25435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedf3…9567backed K2745c269.89$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves47c267.1$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.542,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed K2725c255.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9911959.7%71 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 100 Thieves75c242.82$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.772,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked K2729c241.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.513,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x791b…9073backed 100 Thieves43c234.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+95.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked K2758c230$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked K2749c207.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7836645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked 100 Thieves61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12230348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed K2721c198.13$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.732,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed K2735c195.84$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9564046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed 100 Thieves54c184.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed 100 Thieves55c182.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed K2720c180$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2514037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed 100 Thieves55c174$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9511155%61 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed K2745c165.45$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.184,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed K2756c162.01$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.171,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked 100 Thieves70c161.35$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6339772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x215b…69f1backed K2757c160.8$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+73.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed 100 Thieves49c157$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.534547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked 100 Thieves80c150$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 100 Thieves55c141.05$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.431,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ddb…a7a5backed 100 Thieves59c129.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.092556%14 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc315…a989backed K2719c129.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4314322.4%32 W · 111 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed K2715c127.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.557935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed K2738c111.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5291743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed 100 Thieves48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.943544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8c…9a58backed 100 Thieves80c100.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.195646.4%26 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked K2752c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488542.4%36 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed K2749c99.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.659654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked K2735c90.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.444,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed 100 Thieves53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.137949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed 100 Thieves41c86.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.177146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…f2e1backed K2713c83.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked 100 Thieves48c81.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.862,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed K2725c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.42,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked 100 Thieves43c75.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.635341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked K2746c71.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9120755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb74f…7f47backed 100 Thieves56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked 100 Thieves53c66.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358947.2%42 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d0…bf0cbacked K2745c65.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701c…db31backed 100 Thieves35c62.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x435f…2de6backed 100 Thieves40c62.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.936354%34 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed K2758c62.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0731662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aff…86b9backed K2752c61.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.543161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed K2744c61.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.571,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked K2736c61.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.294560%27 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked 100 Thieves52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.241250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked K2752c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6927947.3%132 W · 147 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c7…fe6bbacked 100 Thieves80c56.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.19560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed K2722c56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6813332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed K2731c55.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9896543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked K2750c53.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.722,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0193…6db1backed 100 Thieves28c53.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed K2757c52.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2313342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed K2742c50.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4567372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed K2752c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2416256.8%92 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed K2750c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.029045.6%41 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked 100 Thieves49c49.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3367547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…a45fbacked K2732c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.88137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick27cpaid-76%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d28…ad7cbacked K2751c46.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.027138%27 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x368c…73d0backed 100 Thieves56c42.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.