CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bb7a47d8bcd87fd9ecaa5cd7ada0d7ea7d9632999531dae60dee94d0f93ef56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of 100 Thieves, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 63c | 451.26$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.05 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 299.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 67c | 299.54$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 176.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed K27 | 69c | 89.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 85.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…01e3backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed K27 | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed K27 | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.