TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,261 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa927…8d9fbacked 100 Thieves53c3,259$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.6234559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked K2747c3,098$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.595,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed K2749c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.335836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 100 Thieves52c1,430$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.391,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed K2758c1,075$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.956,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed 100 Thieves1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6b…e911backed 100 Thieves4c946.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.051457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked 100 Thieves55c864.8$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.8563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed K2747c833.01$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.662,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed 100 Thieves25c799.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed K2765c773.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.9115962.9%100 W · 59 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed 100 Thieves69c724.49$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.3130153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked K2775c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6720755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa670…55d2backed 100 Thieves53c657.31$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.371741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed K2777c652.15$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.151,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x185f…acc1backed K2749c607.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.211668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x435f…2de6backed K2739c600$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3696354%34 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed K2747c520.69$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.972,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked K2753c498.81$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.162738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves34c438$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.922,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed 100 Thieves51c428$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.283441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60f1…aa80backed 100 Thieves53c416.84$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.932152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves48c342.51$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.063,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed 100 Thieves43c314$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9364046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked 100 Thieves54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16291945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves51c295$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.942,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 100 Thieves54c284.64$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.562,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked 100 Thieves24c283.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6837140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed 100 Thieves62c272.16$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16834547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked K2758c260.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.234955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves26c244.45$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.43,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed 100 Thieves53c240$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.211151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed 100 Thieves37c208.83$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9140141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked 100 Thieves30c191$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.541,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed 100 Thieves53c187.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked K2751c186.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6739772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves58c180.79$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.424,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed 100 Thieves73c149$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3915277.6%118 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed 100 Thieves24c141.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.747716.9%13 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves53c130.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.292,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x791b…9073backed K2730c130$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+95.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed 100 Thieves60c122.46$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7417648.3%85 W · 91 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked 100 Thieves55c120.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611661.2%71 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed 100 Thieves25c119.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308637.2%32 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed K2735c114$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.845,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed 100 Thieves56c113.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed K2747c111.77$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2435344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e2…f6fbbacked 100 Thieves52c111.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.122552%13 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K2750c110.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.775,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed K2749c107.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4450051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…a45fbacked 100 Thieves14c106.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick27cpaid-76%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed 100 Thieves75c103.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed K2766c101.07$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.124,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3afd…ccc3backed 100 Thieves37c100.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372536%9 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked 100 Thieves60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked 100 Thieves57c95.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.112,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed K2746c95.44$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5437145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 100 Thieves68c94.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed 100 Thieves53c94.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 100 Thieves48c92.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.732,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed 100 Thieves52c86.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1710249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed K2748c85.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1922049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed K2739c76.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.952,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed K2753c69.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7667372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed K2750c66.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.261,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked 100 Thieves48c63.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4320248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf6c…701bbacked 100 Thieves51c62.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.641040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves38c59.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.563,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed K2753c57.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0531662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 100 Thieves33c56.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.471,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked K2767c55.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2226048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ca…352dbacked 100 Thieves54c54.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.583351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…f65bbacked 100 Thieves26c47.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.495040%20 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed K2749c46.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1134750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed K2749c46.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.748344.6%37 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e30…4764backed 100 Thieves46c43.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf97f…dd8bbacked 100 Thieves58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511352.2%59 W · 54 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves67c42.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.297,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed 100 Thieves49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked K2747c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.449149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed 100 Thieves51c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3930247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e0…d8b8backed K2741c37.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.068758.6%51 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked 100 Thieves54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027947.3%132 W · 147 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6894…1528backed 100 Thieves54c36.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.849450%47 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked K2746c33.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.942,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked K2771c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.574,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed 100 Thieves53c32.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.441,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08cc…17e6backed K2747c31.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.694751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed K2756c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked 100 Thieves71c29.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2474653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16a5…9d69backed 100 Thieves53c27.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked K2775c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.679864.3%63 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked 100 Thieves65c26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9336174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked 100 Thieves52c25.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6135947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked 100 Thieves50c25.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.065973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed 100 Thieves53c23.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3319451.5%100 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked 100 Thieves52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.419954.8%109 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed 100 Thieves63c19.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1796543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked 100 Thieves74c16.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.468564.7%55 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced9…b265backed 100 Thieves67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.051926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.