TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7ca…352d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.32
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$26.21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$87.71
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$73.82
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Walczaki (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.08
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.69
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$52.04
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$31.07
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.93
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.66
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.88
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$31.43
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$45.19
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winnerbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.26
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.58
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$218
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$95.12
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$125.19
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$100.93
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$155.67
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$82.13
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.09
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$42.86
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Xtreme Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$206.24
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.31
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$182.21
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$262.28
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$75.15
Paraguay to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$72.65
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$43.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$126.25
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+147.4%+$117.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.