La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaeaab3b3d1b538f0d1742660fdee9dbbc338affc991167e1bb5c5e7933173b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,369,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,857,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,369,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91dd…600bbacked Yes | 46c | 479,654$222,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257,255.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed No | 54c | 90,000$48,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 53,148$28,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,217.85 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 54c | 50,250$27,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,132.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 37,500$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked No | 55c | 32,101$17,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,655.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 29,089$12,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,157.92 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…0a5fbacked No | 53c | 21,630$11,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,463.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed No | 53c | 21,400$11,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,342 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 74c | 19,943$14,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,275.35 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 53c | 17,625$9,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,256.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 46c | 16,060$7,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,672.4 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 45c | 15,863$7,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,720.83 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 49c | 15,778$7,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,971.5 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 48c | 15,625$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,125 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 54c | 15,003$8,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,101.62 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.95 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 53c | 12,676$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,744.78 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 53c | 11,896$6,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,267.06 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 10,752$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,477.55 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…c50abacked No | 54c | 10,700$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,778 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed No | 18c | 10,486$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.39 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed No | 54c | 9,636$5,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,204.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…cc4bbacked No | 53c | 8,760$4,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,645.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 54c | 8,700$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.99 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 54c | 8,370$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,519.8 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 39c | 7,036$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.92 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Yes | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 44c | 5,700$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…88c8backed Yes | 44c | 4,853$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 46c | 4,845$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 55c | 4,070$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.6 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 4,064$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.02 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 3,870$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.31 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 55c | 3,650$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.46 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 53c | 3,443$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…30e5backed No | 54c | 3,435$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 2c | 3,360$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 3,144$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.45 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 47c | 3,045$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.71 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 48c | 3,038$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.19 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 54c | 2,923$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.08 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,621$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.45 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 54c | 2,190$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…067ebacked No | 54c | 2,190$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 53c | 1,981$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.93 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 47c | 1,889$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 53c | 1,886$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 48c | 1,818$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.88 | 80 | 75%60 W · 20 L | +13.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c51…1fc1backed No | 57c | 1,779$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked No | 54c | 1,752$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 1,744$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.72 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 21c | 1,692$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.46 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,579$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.25 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 54c | 1,568$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.72 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 44c | 1,542$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.46 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 53c | 1,503$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 30c | 1,447$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.13 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 1,392$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.16 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 1,372$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.62 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…3979backed Yes | 76c | 1,340$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7952…658fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,337$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 44c | 1,328$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.89 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 1,295$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.17 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 53c | 1,289$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.65 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 53c | 1,240$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.36 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 21c | 1,160$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.97 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 53c | 1,123$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.21 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed Yes | 46c | 1,098$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 55c | 1,095$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…eaefbacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 43c | 1,053$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.32 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…625abacked Yes | 48c | 1,046$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…98adbacked Yes | 47c | 1,038$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,025$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e8…8594backed No | 54c | 1,007$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,007$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 33cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 66c | 996.86$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.21 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked No | 54c | 990$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…a740backed Yes | 47c | 981.26$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 39c | 927.87$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 54c | 918.96$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Yes | 46c | 831.07$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 38c | 788.62$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?this page
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.