TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No75c21,194$15,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,219.6457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes20c13,571$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.9383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes17c7,087$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-83.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c5,241$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.043,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Yes15c4,233$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.15446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes40c3,003$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.983342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No72c2,915$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.213050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No78c1,950$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.8521950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No68c1,776$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.43476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No80c1,590$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.7418956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2857024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No76c1,310$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.642147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No72c1,173$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.940239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes19c1,038$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2915051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes30c1,001$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.4899933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes28c869.96$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5919632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…8d12backed No62c805.95$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes28c800$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22414244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x080e…78a5backed Yes25c649.36$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2360%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes16c557.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902313%3 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-55.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes39c538.46$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e03…8b79backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No72c429.17$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1712546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No64c406.28$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.295032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182f…de4fbacked No73c404.31$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…c168backed No80c392$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes13c390.75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.661,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes24c350$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9823762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No59c344.97$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.755366%35 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Yes17c334.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.89520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes39c328.21$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c312.86$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.644039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No73c295.89$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.899666.7%64 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No72c282.47$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No73c275$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.255448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…01e5backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No80c268$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.63551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked No76c261.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.45757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes31c243.49$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8102…c618backed Yes30c211.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7984…638abacked Yes27c210.68$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7a…2ecabacked No73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes25c168.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.054035%14 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes30c166.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4959655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes38c165.26$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.83154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes27c160.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.671,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes29c153.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed No75c150$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0972…82aabacked Yes38c128.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…c1f1backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes28c121.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf98d…384ebacked Yes21c119$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked No70c113.49$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.831827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-58.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c112.24$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No69c112.03$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.561947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x274c…c667backed Yes18c111.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef2…892fbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ce…7d54backed Yes29c106.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7812…4bcdbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54951%25 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f8…df87backed Yes22c95.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c93.87$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4363553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes47c93.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.951963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked No59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2570%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed No77c79.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcadf…b2e3backed No58c78.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes16c72.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9544424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No72c71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf4…66eabacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No72c68.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.259956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c66.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.941,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No59c61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0110445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No74c49.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.922524%6 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes27c48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.961,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-77.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes43c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9221139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes38c43.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3814140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No74c39.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.247842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked No77c34.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12040%8 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c31.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9375451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c26.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4769750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No65c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.115540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No54c20.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2310556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No69c19.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf17d…6f86backed No80c18.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3d…0a1dbacked No79c17.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No69c16.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed No72c15.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2811336.3%41 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No71c14.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.275259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.