TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,876 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20b8…aa04backed No74c52,200$38,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,571.923100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c18,772$4,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,504.184,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes27c16,060$4,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,293.175337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes23c6,610$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.4883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes26c5,646$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.8968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes3c4,457$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.719840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes5c4,338$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-83.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd76b…e9d5backed Yes26c3,971$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+50.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c3,132$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.0564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes25c2,808$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…d26abacked No80c2,750$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No74c2,715$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.112546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No73c2,554$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.61816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c2,437$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.7575451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes26c2,354$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.893050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Yes24c2,209$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+72.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb450…eaefbacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes26c1,700$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44211333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked No75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c1,439$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.092,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes26c1,423$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes1c1,365$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked No79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c1,234$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1169750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes24c1,226$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.8999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No73c1,205$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.358075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes22c1,129$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9357139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No75c1,090$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.21450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c909$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No73c905.03$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5915051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes26c754.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes24c735.32$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1333734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed No75c714.67$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes8c697$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.763342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7809…9b42backed Yes26c645.27$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes26c596.96$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2119632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb398…3a9fbacked No77c594.08$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.985100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Yes26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c531.8$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.341,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed No75c480$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed No73c479.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.454746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes26c470.77$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.45131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e03…8b79backed Yes26c451.27$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes26c442$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2815660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes26c422$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7211253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d22…2bafbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9615062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes12c409.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6421950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11280%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No73c399.98$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.99875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes26c396.65$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.132454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe8…dc05backed Yes22c386.86$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc5…57fcbacked Yes26c385$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No75c368.02$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0144039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c366.72$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3548153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31f0…67c8backed No75c359.73$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.936100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes26c341.23$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7210254.9%56 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes23c310.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.064738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e3…1635backed No75c301.64$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No74c287$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.629956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes26c267$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4212948.8%63 W · 66 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Yes26c260.27$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.671643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes26c256.58$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7127758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf2…7803backed Yes40c249.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c244.25$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.545450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Yes30c244.15$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.25812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-81.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes24c238.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4910445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes26c230.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5161…9ea1backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes26c211.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512330.1%37 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e4…b195backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7589…2775backed No73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Yes26c199.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.984461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No77c194.67$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5213642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No74c179.34$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.632766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No70c176$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No74c162$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.121,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes10c159.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8917842.1%75 W · 103 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18e…8038backed No75c154.67$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.515940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd812…203fbacked Yes23c148.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes25c138$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.514525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70cb…950ebacked No75c133.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.351376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Yes24c120.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c120.71$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.59252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c119.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.163553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No74c113.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.535448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No60c113$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.232352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x274c…c667backed Yes19c106.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2640%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed No79c103$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.631533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed No74c101.49$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.392343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.