TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x50ab…144b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT8122.2%18 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+424.1%+$263.8
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$155.05
France vs. Morocco: Team to Take First Cornerbacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.53
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+407.3%+$1,221.81
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$489.47
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$266.67
Paraguay to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+679.2%+$101.88
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$242
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.92
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$177.27
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$120.33
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+525%+$183.75
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+525%+$157.5
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$106.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
MH Beitar Jerusalem leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will NK Aluminij win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid+78.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$25.94
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$82.91
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 5 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+310.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$31.83
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$56.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$171.38
Will Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+191.5%+$287.2
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New England Revolution vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+300%+$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.