Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x726972f842b3a54c9a698a13c715d934ba8a6320c02b424262ef81d38ea0881c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 3,756$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.23 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 17c | 861.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 26c | 305$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 74c | 297.5$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 272.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 255.4$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 245.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 9c | 223$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 34c | 219.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 30c | 195.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 15c | 191$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 35c | 133.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 103.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 73c | 98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 27c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 28c | 73.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…6ee8backed Yes | 23c | 70.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed No | 72c | 45.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 72c | 34.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 66c | 20.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.