Champions League · resolved market
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9f3fa20d539d20fc6a45a4cdc1efd4699376e52f22be5d9f0eeb2f30f15da37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes | 18c | 66,009$11,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,960.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 21,144$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.97 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 16c | 6,500$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 1c | 4,300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 14c | 2,102$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Yes | 5c | 1,983$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,578$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.97 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 13c | 1,282$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 7c | 1,180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 17c | 1,013$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…dc17backed Yes | 13c | 934.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 14c | 714.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 14c | 710.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 14c | 642.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 5c | 629.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Yes | 17c | 617$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 16c | 591.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 10c | 537.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 17c | 488.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 471.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 456$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…5127backed Yes | 19c | 434$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…3f5fbacked Yes | 14c | 364.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 19c | 355$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 17c | 354.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 14c | 339.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 12c | 336.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 11c | 312.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 6c | 303.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 276.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 6c | 254$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…134ebacked Yes | 9c | 222.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…cbcabacked Yes | 13c | 212.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…7b1abacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…1a62backed Yes | 13c | 159.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Yes | 17c | 155.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 17c | 140$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Yes | 14c | 132.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…36ccbacked Yes | 14c | 131.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…9e4bbacked Yes | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 14c | 108.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…6ab1backed Yes | 19c | 100.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…2922backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 14c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 19c | 65.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 16c | 63.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…7bfebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 18c | 61.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.