TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e03…3f5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Bergsbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Targu Mures: Elena Malygina vs Elena Ruxandra Berteabacked Elena Malygina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.05
Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.25
Livesport Prague Open: Mai Hontama vs Lilli Taggerbacked Mai Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.11
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Ivan Marrerobacked Ivan Marrero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$113.93
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+400%+$56.44
ITF Cluj Napoca: Ilinca Dalina Amariei vs Anja Wildgruberbacked Anja Wildgruber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Charles Broom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+431.9%+$151.91
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+171.7%+$69.61
Estoril Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tiago Torresbacked Tiago Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+266.5%+$333.14
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Julia Stusekbacked Julia Stusek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.69
Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hamburg European Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sinja Krausbacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+138%+$69.01
Set 2 Winner: Bublik vs Acostabacked Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set 2 Winner: Molcan vs Altmaierbacked Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Set 2 Winner: Borges vs Burruchagabacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Livesport Prague Open: Maya Joint vs Tereza Valentovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.35
Estoril Open: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Asschebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.