Tennis · resolved market
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Ivan Marrero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3050c12cac56b8b932f91f6a8ca5b4d423a550ed7d457755376c1890a4a97e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejandro Moro Canasof Alejandro Moro Canas, Ivan Marrero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf9d…8d0dbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 79c | 65,000$51,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,649.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ivan Marrero | 19c | 61,396$11,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,501.69 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Ivan Marrero | 12c | 25,217$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.43 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ivan Marrero | 9c | 7,124$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.16 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ivan Marrero | 18c | 2,957$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.31 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Ivan Marrero | 13c | 2,307$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 1,140 | 45.4%518 W · 622 L | -34.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ivan Marrero | 18c | 1,995$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.49 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ivan Marrero | 19c | 1,477$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.22 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Ivan Marrero | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 762 | 12.1%92 W · 670 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ivan Marrero | 21c | 895$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Ivan Marrero | 15c | 690.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Ivan Marrero | 15c | 687.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ivan Marrero | 13c | 609.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 3,749 | 42.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L | -44.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…b34fbacked Ivan Marrero | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Ivan Marrero | 19c | 389.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 913 | 41.4%378 W · 535 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Ivan Marrero | 11c | 386.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Ivan Marrero | 8c | 361.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Ivan Marrero | 10c | 298.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…3f5fbacked Ivan Marrero | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Ivan Marrero | 24c | 230.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 368 | 47.8%176 W · 192 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ivan Marrero | 8c | 179.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ivan Marrero | 13c | 166.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ivan Marrero | 23c | 162.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 3,359 | 48.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L | -49.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 76c | 162.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 348 | 48.3%168 W · 180 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 77c | 131.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…b9d5backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Ivan Marrero | 23c | 124.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Ivan Marrero | 23c | 116.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Ivan Marrero | 11c | 110.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Ivan Marrero | 13c | 105.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,094 | 36.7%402 W · 692 L | -21.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked Ivan Marrero | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ivan Marrero | 21c | 103.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2,101 | 54.2%1,139 W · 962 L | +65.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Ivan Marrero | 20c | 98.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ivan Marrero | 25c | 97.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ivan Marrero | 22c | 92.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Ivan Marrero | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x925b…640ebacked Ivan Marrero | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 75c | 63.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Ivan Marrero | 25c | 59.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 78c | 51.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 76c | 29.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 606 | 47.5%288 W · 318 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 77c | 28.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 77c | 26.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 207 | 71%147 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 76c | 24.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dba…7bc4backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 78c | 15.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Ivan Marrerothis page
- Set Handicap: Marrero (-1.5) vs Canas (+1.5)Canas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.