TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7775…b9d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Olympics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT4468.2%30 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Edwardsville: Jack Anthrop vs Gavin Youngbacked Jack Anthrop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$36.41
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Liberec: Petr Brunclik vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandezbacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Billy Harrisbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$28.58
ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsenbacked Johanne Christine Svendsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Cluj Napoca: Sara Victoria Balan vs Ilinca Dalina Amarieibacked Ilinca Dalina Amariei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.89
ITF Brisbane: Destanee Aiava vs Natsuki Yoshimotobacked Destanee Aiava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$34.57
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$30.58
Palermo: Mina Hodzic vs Noemi Basilettibacked Mina Hodzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$38.36
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Ivan Marrerobacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Julia Stusekbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$16.87
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Istanbul 2: Gabriela Knutson vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Istanbul 2: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Weronika Falkowskabacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$35.5
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$246.78
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Wuning: Meiling Wang vs Michika Ozekibacked Meiling Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Taburbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.59
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.61
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.5
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Zaynukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Wang Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$462.98
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$44.73
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+27.6%+$27.62
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick78cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.66
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$21.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Spartak Moscowbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.