TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerland

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Finlandof Finland, Switzerland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$797,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$878,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $797,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99bd…238ebacked Switzerland31c376,554$116,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,293.621838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Finland69c150,052$103,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,516.27540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Finland64c129,431$82,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,008.152737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Finland70c50,000$34,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,1001921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-59.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Finland69c31,389$21,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,730.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Switzerland31c17,280$5,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,356.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Finland71c14,108$10,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Switzerland33c12,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,960100%0 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Switzerland75c11,541$8,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,687.72128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Finland43c11,144$4,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,362.431855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Finland69c11,000$7,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4101457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Switzerland4c10,217$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.18714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Finland70c10,160$7,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.911947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Switzerland70c9,909$6,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,955.042944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…181cbacked Finland67c8,984$6,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Switzerland31c8,342$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Finland19c8,186$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,670.53944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+67%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Switzerland69c7,954$5,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,516.56714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-81%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Finland70c6,521$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9311428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Finland69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8601735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Switzerland32c5,963$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.862548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Finland57c5,658$3,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.732634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80be…0a7fbacked Switzerland30c5,543$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Switzerland30c5,377$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.22650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…4060backed Finland69c5,162$3,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff0…6223backed Finland69c4,832$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Finland62c4,548$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.231643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Switzerland31c4,505$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.064325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Switzerland31c4,500$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc0…1c1cbacked Switzerland30c4,450$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Finland70c4,357$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Finland69c3,716$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.221833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Finland16c3,711$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.471526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick18cpaid-19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Finland69c3,500$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Finland69c3,400$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e2…6bc0backed Finland24c3,135$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+110.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed Finland38c3,039$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.721752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Switzerland31c2,917$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Finland70c2,836$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.78742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Finland71c2,835$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.591145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Finland30c2,442$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.421546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a50…8ca2backed Switzerland79c2,278$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Finland69c2,241$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe1…30c6backed Finland23c2,073$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+130.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Finland67c2,015$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6651145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Switzerland45c2,010$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.713941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Finland39c2,000$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.472133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Switzerland15c1,979$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.31714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-80.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9c…b9bebacked Switzerland60c1,964$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Switzerland30c1,950$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.03560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Finland24c1,915$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.532532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Finland66c1,874$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.041540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7433…7851backed Finland11c1,814$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.28955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+67.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0b…17c3backed Switzerland5c1,800$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.94238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Finland69c1,792$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.77825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Finland29c1,788$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.41850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Switzerland77c1,733$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Finland35c1,719$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.381233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Switzerland77c1,705$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Finland12c1,681$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Switzerland72c1,630$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec6e…2a01backed Finland69c1,630$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Finland38c1,579$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.722540%10 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Finland26c1,549$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1471643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea7…2e5ebacked Finland33c1,499$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Finland19c1,412$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+71.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1816…06e9backed Finland71c1,400$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a9…f991backed Finland16c1,237$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Switzerland4c1,200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44427.1%3 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Switzerland37c1,200$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.81921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick13cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Switzerland79c1,024$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.717035.7%25 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa39c…08bcbacked Finland71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2902100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Switzerland72c970.78$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Finland27c952.62$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.411435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Finland69c951.26$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c5…6f71backed Switzerland74c950.3$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Switzerland79c925.34$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked Finland55c892.71$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.71520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-63.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Switzerland32c856.25$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2741154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…05f9backed Switzerland30c800$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Finland27c798$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.882832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Switzerland75c797.47$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Finland29c792.33$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.31248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea3…95aabacked Switzerland31c791.14$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Switzerland31c776.13$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.343616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52c1…1084backed Finland12c765.89$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.811030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf35…8033backed Finland21c757.01$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.01333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8431…65a7backed Finland69c750$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Finland57c743.99$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.17837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff30…80adbacked Finland26c737.68$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.681637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e48…c23bbacked Finland11c733.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+771.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Finland25c733.67$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+161%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Switzerland30c733.33$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Switzerland73c719.6$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.31366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…db6dbacked Finland70c714.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.43366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Finland71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Switzerland30c667.04$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.781435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x018f…e8e6backed Switzerland31c664.39$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Finland18c637.47$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.082119%4 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Finland16c615.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.