TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52c1…1084

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.67
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.85
World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
World Championships: Czechia vs. Norwaybacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Canadabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
World Championships: Austria vs. Germanybacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
World Championships: Latvia vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
World Championships: USA vs. Germanybacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+152%+$31.17
World Championships: Czechia vs. Italybacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.53
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Slovakiabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
World Championships: Latvia vs. Austriabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.21
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30.64
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$67.21
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+750.2%+$675.81
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104%+$157.4
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$41.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+135%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.25
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+155%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+155%+$27.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another person be the next Pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.