TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

World Championships: Latvia vs. USA

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Latviaof Latvia, USA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x551d…9326backed Latvia18c3,477$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.591457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Latvia18c2,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.9820144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed USA79c1,544$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22017353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed USA62c1,537$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.041957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed USA43c1,300$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.212263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed USA29c983.99$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.363228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Latvia47c944.01$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.531,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Latvia16c700$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5883920.5%8 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed USA29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed USA60c677.54$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.346341.3%26 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Latvia19c621.29$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.242642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked USA77c568.4$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.264438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Latvia15c556.22$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.086437.5%24 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eea…22cbbacked USA27c549.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Latvia23c522.14$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.143327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Latvia55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Latvia22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5519033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked USA30c415.01$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.971,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Latvia16c399.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.996931.9%22 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed USA77c391.76$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.438043.8%35 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked USA62c383.46$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.4737254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8c…3d1abacked USA61c330.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.91560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed USA41c324.31$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7224946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked USA80c320.4$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3214551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Latvia19c301.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.312147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed USA68c294.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Latvia48c270.78$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9632353.9%174 W · 149 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed USA77c215.18$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4527947.3%132 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x115e…5019backed USA61c200$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d1…f8c0backed Latvia19c199.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.992060%12 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+151%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Latvia36c190.77$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.891,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked USA59c180.72$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed USA43c169.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.75540%22 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Latvia41c162.83$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.32875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked USA63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015157.6%87 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…ad0fbacked USA29c153.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5450%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fe…9fe1backed USA51c140$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed USA79c123.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.216955.6%94 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa413…c339backed USA63c123.64$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…d960backed Latvia44c116.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2936662%227 W · 139 L+39.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked USA34c113.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.414347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Latvia48c113.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.171,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Latvia16c111.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe51e…1a85backed Latvia19c109.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed USA29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Latvia42c98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4445069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Latvia23c92.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.548035%28 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f37…c150backed Latvia22c91.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.09540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+53.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…324cbacked Latvia21c90$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked Latvia28c82.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.311421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7465…caa8backed USA62c80.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.44337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcef3…52afbacked Latvia22c76.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked USA30c73.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.835261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ba0…21dfbacked USA63c71.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc435…e961backed USA64c70.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed USA64c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.849747.9%238 W · 259 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5718…7fdebacked USA34c68.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4a9…f27dbacked Latvia60c66.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f90…fadcbacked Latvia23c63.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782f…13bdbacked Latvia31c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Latvia18c59.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.182969%20 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+71.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed USA64c58.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.381050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e53…d1fdbacked USA77c56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Latvia18c55.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9178038.5%300 W · 480 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b4…f3c1backed Latvia21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52c1…1084backed USA30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dee…5d00backed USA63c47.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd220…0c5cbacked USA78c44.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d63…68c6backed USA35c42.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa211…a283backed USA53c39.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.121241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Latvia42c39.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9119657.1%112 W · 84 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Latvia40c39.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8559…c9f7backed USA52c36.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.881421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed USA61c34.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked USA62c32.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045149.4%223 W · 228 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…3144backed USA63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+58.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed USA53c31.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.863672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked USA51c31.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.979423.4%22 W · 72 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a60…cd53backed Latvia50c27.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3dc…1318backed USA50c27.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd563…63a7backed Latvia50c26.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa94f…43c3backed USA50c26.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c3…de7ebacked Latvia50c25.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2693…e86dbacked USA50c25.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…45a9backed USA80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed USA79c19.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34070%28 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x670c…a7dfbacked USA77c19.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.