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NHL · resolved market

World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Switzerlandof Switzerland, Finland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Switzerland53c51,216$27,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,073.554358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x219a…154bbacked Finland47c23,559$11,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,168.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Switzerland53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,399.961,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0f…4790backed Finland47c16,244$7,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,634.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Switzerland52c12,875$6,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,208.584161%25 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Finland45c11,734$5,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,304.8627044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Finland47c11,439$5,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,376.3251452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Switzerland51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.971,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Finland47c8,284$3,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,893.483554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Switzerland54c7,381$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.8513841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Finland48c4,058$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.115949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Finland47c3,420$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.3523642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc089…633cbacked Finland47c3,015$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9786…7e61backed Finland48c2,913$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Finland49c2,456$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.5140%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Finland47c2,398$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.9466552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Finland48c2,177$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.362748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Switzerland53c2,155$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.7214254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked Finland48c2,118$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Switzerland53c1,856$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Finland47c1,785$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.761936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed Finland48c1,450$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Finland49c1,380$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5f1…c7ffbacked Finland48c1,326$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Switzerland53c1,250$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.533554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Finland47c1,208$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.7614551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa95b…0d14backed Switzerland54c1,151$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Finland47c1,107$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.52748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+73.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Finland47c1,016$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.591154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…3ddebacked Finland48c984.78$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Finland38c914.05$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.8611949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Finland47c909.54$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.462147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28b7…c41cbacked Finland50c900.16$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Finland47c851.04$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.993444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Finland46c820.55$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.524438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Finland46c800.04$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.8416446.3%76 W · 88 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec6…50cdbacked Switzerland77c759.74$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fef…d075backed Finland47c723.45$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf960…fcbfbacked Switzerland64c714.32$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.66875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Switzerland52c659.49$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.567533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Finland47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002540%10 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Finland47c617.02$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95d…2ebdbacked Finland48c615.84$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae9…2f5cbacked Finland26c523.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick22cpaid+223.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa672…6b31backed Switzerland53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Switzerland52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2407652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe1…896cbacked Switzerland52c475.96$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b04…8b39backed Finland48c472.68$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f8…5645backed Finland49c469.54$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Finland46c459.56$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.431848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8396…a5f5backed Switzerland54c451.31$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Switzerland51c427.6$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x137a…140dbacked Switzerland54c408.54$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa943…bcbebacked Finland48c404.47$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Switzerland52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Finland48c365.67$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.522429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbca3…f975backed Finland43c363.86$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7303…a583backed Finland51c339.73$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Switzerland52c336.54$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5448552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Finland46c329.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.458150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Switzerland52c323.65$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.359846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked Finland47c305.44$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Finland45c300.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.566931.9%22 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Finland47c294$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.183056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Finland48c288.05$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.58749.4%43 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Switzerland53c286$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2241050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Finland47c280.85$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Switzerland54c273$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.581866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Switzerland75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe89a…928abacked Switzerland52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Switzerland73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6745069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Finland49c228.04$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.741040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d9…25cbbacked Switzerland55c219.2$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Finland16c211.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdc…6f99backed Finland48c208.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+54.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Switzerland55c205.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.071,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Finland49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Finland49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Finland49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010464.4%67 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Switzerland60c200.63$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.138043.8%35 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Switzerland50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…324cbacked Finland60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Switzerland51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9811253.6%60 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f3…25dfbacked Finland49c191.84$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Finland29c191.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.171,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Switzerland52c186.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.254548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Switzerland54c186.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4224259.1%143 W · 99 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43e…b2c0backed Switzerland54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…05f9backed Switzerland54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Switzerland53c183.24$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.187038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Switzerland39c175.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.752969%20 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+71.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xac3f…e38fbacked Finland29c164.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed Finland46c158.33$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6127947.3%132 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Switzerland53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Switzerland52c148$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.041030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a3…b441backed Finland17c147.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick25cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a80…3753backed Finland49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Switzerland53c142.02$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.379562.1%59 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Switzerland69c140.09$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.585444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f8b…46c0backed Finland34c139.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.