TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe89a…928a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$43.45
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.97
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.48
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.91
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$190.1
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.61
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.38
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$207.64
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$122.29
Spread: Hungary (-1.5)backed Hungary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$148.19
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$165.48
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$117.65
World Championships: Norway vs. Latviabacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120
World Championships: Czechia vs. Norwaybacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$98.8
World Championships: Germany vs. Hungarybacked Hungary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
World Championships: Denmark vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$91.54
World Championships: Sweden vs. Sloveniabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
World Championships: Hungary vs. Great Britainbacked Hungary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Slovakiabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.33
World Championships: Latvia vs. Austriabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
World Championships: Norway vs. Sloveniabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
World Championships: Austria vs. Hungarybacked Hungary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.41
Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$62.73
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.68
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.54
Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+167.9%+$453.33
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.94
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$434.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.