NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Latvia vs. Austria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec4d2f6b8b9b74c0438a2bef00bd45ff4a826d9e7a11ad753feea3b27db56dad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Austriaof Latvia, Austria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Latvia | 62c | 1,518$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.85 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Austria | 44c | 1,383$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.35 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Latvia | 63c | 1,207$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.65 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Austria | 37c | 1,158$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.74 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Latvia | 65c | 1,158$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Austria | 38c | 1,059$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Austria | 33c | 868.76$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.07 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…ecc4backed Latvia | 66c | 753.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Austria | 64c | 736.31$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.65 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Latvia | 39c | 630.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Austria | 35c | 499.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Latvia | 63c | 447.32$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.21 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Austria | 35c | 346.48$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.48 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Austria | 36c | 315.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…05f9backed Latvia | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…d1fdbacked Latvia | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Latvia | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Austria | 38c | 306.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.58 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Austria | 35c | 300.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.65 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Austria | 34c | 249.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…80a4backed Austria | 38c | 242.2$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…fa87backed Latvia | 25c | 204.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Latvia | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ef…6f9fbacked Latvia | 32c | 174.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Austria | 57c | 169.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…22cbbacked Latvia | 63c | 158.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…928abacked Latvia | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…a283backed Latvia | 66c | 152.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Latvia | 66c | 151.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Austria | 38c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…9fe1backed Latvia | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…b401backed Latvia | 38c | 148$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Austria | 51c | 144.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Austria | 35c | 142.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Latvia | 63c | 139.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Austria | 39c | 128.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Latvia | 57c | 127.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Austria | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Latvia | 66c | 121.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Austria | 35c | 120.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Austria | 35c | 114.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Austria | 37c | 107.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5173…c07cbacked Latvia | 67c | 104.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Austria | 41c | 102.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Latvia | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b57…95e1backed Latvia | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Austria | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Latvia | 63c | 99.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Austria | 34c | 89.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Latvia | 62c | 89.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be66backed Austria | 63c | 87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Austria | 35c | 85.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e30…d312backed Austria | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 38cpaid | +81%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…0880backed Latvia | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ae…1e53backed Austria | 37c | 76.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Latvia | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Latvia | 64c | 73.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Latvia | 65c | 65.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Austria | 47c | 55.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Latvia | 66c | 54.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5902backed Latvia | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Austria | 39c | 51.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…7ab8backed Austria | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…1084backed Latvia | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Latvia | 64c | 49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Latvia | 66c | 46.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4de6…03d2backed Latvia | 67c | 45.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Austria | 38c | 43.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…f94abacked Latvia | 64c | 42.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Latvia | 57c | 40.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f37…c150backed Latvia | 49c | 40.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…f3adbacked Austria | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Latvia | 31c | 39.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…e39ebacked Austria | 63c | 35.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…d799backed Austria | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Austria | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…f5f4backed Latvia | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46f…8b25backed Latvia | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…7fdebacked Latvia | 50c | 30.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Austria | 34c | 29.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…9703backed Latvia | 46c | 29.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Latvia | 65c | 28.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Latvia | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Latvia | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbb…77eebacked Latvia | 64c | 21.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Austria | 58c | 17.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…a663backed Latvia | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d58cbacked Latvia | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.