TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fbb…77ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+851.5%+$284.14
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.44
Will there be 1+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.36
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.27
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+198.3%+$24.87
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Will Team Melo win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.42
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$55.31
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.94
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+158%+$61.27
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24.24
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.43
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$19.17
Will BUF/SEA/NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+103.8%+$13.5
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$11.57
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.5
Will the Baltimore Ravens, Green Bay Packers, and Kansas City Chiefs all win on Thanksgiving?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+63.8%+$8.93
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+564%+$124.08
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+295.9%+$39.95
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$32.26
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$32.13
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+144.4%+$40.77
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+39.4%+$7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-53.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+110.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$4.45
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+177.8%+$25.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+961%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+961%+$96.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$9.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C or below on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$68.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.