NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b55abd8c4b9a9a4ab04c4e64eb0e2e4a173caac3e8cb50c25a4d3f2a961f0f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,109,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,262,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,109,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Suns | 43c | 678,945$292,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292,308.02 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 56c | 150,456$84,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,200.57 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder | 58c | 149,332$87,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,287.97 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Thunder | 57c | 101,693$57,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,727.91 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 46c | 69,817$32,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,011.7 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Thunder | 56c | 60,000$33,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,400 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 43c | 57,554$24,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,748.43 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 56c | 41,935$23,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,645.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Thunder | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,600 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Thunder | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,600 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Suns | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.93 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 54c | 17,792$9,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,184.47 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Thunder | 60c | 17,060$10,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,823.83 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 59c | 16,574$9,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,843.29 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 57c | 15,587$8,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.5 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Thunder | 60c | 14,477$8,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,790.93 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 54c | 14,458$7,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,650.74 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 55c | 14,048$7,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 57c | 13,652$7,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,831.31 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Thunder | 56c | 13,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,720 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Thunder | 60c | 11,895$7,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.07 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 56c | 9,174$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.6 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 54c | 7,229$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.37 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 54c | 7,229$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.37 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Thunder | 61c | 7,157$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.4 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Suns | 8c | 7,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Suns | 17c | 6,745$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.16 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Thunder | 60c | 4,067$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.67 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Thunder | 57c | 3,927$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.57 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Suns | 40c | 3,498$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.29 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 55c | 3,388$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.01 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 39c | 3,347$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…b4d4backed Thunder | 60c | 3,253$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.33 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Thunder | 56c | 3,013$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.66 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Thunder | 56c | 2,907$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.9 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Thunder | 56c | 2,413$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.93 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Thunder | 56c | 1,974$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.91 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Thunder | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.34 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 60c | 1,627$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.67 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Thunder | 60c | 1,464$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.6 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Thunder | 56c | 1,455$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.31 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Thunder | 56c | 1,307$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Suns | 44c | 1,260$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.4 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 56c | 1,233$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…bf20backed Thunder | 60c | 1,139$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Thunder | 56c | 1,043$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.29 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Thunder | 59c | 1,015$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.74 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Thunder | 60c | 1,009$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.41 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Thunder | 61c | 1,002$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Thunder | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Thunder | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…01f3backed Thunder | 61c | 988$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Thunder | 53c | 983.46$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.92 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Thunder | 60c | 976$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x647a…4d7abacked Thunder | 80c | 916.77$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…5d06backed Thunder | 54c | 900.26$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.87 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Thunder | 56c | 892.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.85 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 56c | 844.32$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.88 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Thunder | 58c | 835.4$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.87 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Suns | 44c | 834.62$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.23 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Thunder | 55c | 832.92$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.74 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Suns | 45c | 810.56$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.75 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Thunder | 54c | 810.33$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.75 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 56c | 799.43$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.89 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Thunder | 55c | 779.25$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.66 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Suns | 44c | 700$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Thunder | 56c | 677.51$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.05 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 56c | 599.93$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Thunder | 58c | 587.12$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.54 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Suns | 46c | 584.63$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.98 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Thunder | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…c2e6backed Thunder | 54c | 558.23$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Thunder | 55c | 531.06$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.16 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Thunder | 56c | 511.14$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.9 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Thunder | 64c | 503.41$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.3 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Suns | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 56c | 482.59$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Thunder | 53c | 479.4$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.32 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Thunder | 59c | 476.71$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Thunder | 57c | 465.77$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Suns | 27c | 456.79$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…06d6backed Thunder | 54c | 451.28$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…dfc5backed Thunder | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Thunder | 56c | 429.89$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.76 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5b…1902backed Thunder | 57c | 425.57$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Suns | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Thunder | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…af96backed Thunder | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Thunder | 56c | 308.01$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Thunder | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Suns | 37c | 298.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 56c | 294$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7b24backed Thunder | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Suns | 39c | 286.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Suns | 47c | 277.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 1.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.