NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06657beb29fc3041f5c2c40fde87c78423f4ec6c1d4ff4e6bb4eb0cd97437aa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $731,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $749,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 49c | 447,086$218,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228,255.33 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 51c | 160,000$81,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,599.85 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 99,978$50,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,988.82 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,600 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 39,425$20,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,106.97 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 26,315$13,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,289.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 22,795$11,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,397.5 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 50c | 22,122$11,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,060.75 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 49c | 19,784$9,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,089.67 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 48c | 12,488$6,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,017.63 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 11,409$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 11,297$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,697.59 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 53c | 8,558$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.3 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 8,431$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 51c | 7,628$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.51 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 52c | 6,981$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.34 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 6,743$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 39c | 6,320$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.69 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 5,813$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.05 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…e4afbacked Under | 49c | 5,552$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.54 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 60c | 5,513$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.91 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Over | 62c | 4,723$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.72 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 4,573$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.13 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 4,502$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.91 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 4,413$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.63 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 3,885$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.1 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Under | 49c | 3,329$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.86 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 51c | 3,018$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.24 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 2,770$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.55 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Over | 49c | 2,700$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 45c | 2,650$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.9 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 2,645$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.84 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…8c21backed Under | 52c | 2,442$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Under | 49c | 2,369$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.3 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 60c | 2,298$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.59 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 8c | 2,265$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Over | 52c | 2,252$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 67c | 2,181$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.67 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over | 45c | 2,140$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 49c | 1,956$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.47 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.01 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Over | 44c | 1,930$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…5b61backed Over | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 49c | 1,899$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.61 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 1,879$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.54 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 1,877$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.41 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 1,708$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.14 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 44c | 1,654$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.61 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 77c | 1,602$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.65 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Over | 34c | 1,576$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.67 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Under | 50c | 1,575$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 33c | 1,507$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.72 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 51c | 1,413$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.29 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b07…98a7backed Over | 46c | 1,409$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 1,403$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.73 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 50c | 1,387$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.04 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf444…8bb9backed Over | 50c | 1,351$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 51c | 1,245$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.16 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 51c | 1,236$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.09 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 71c | 1,115$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.67 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 65c | 1,025$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.2 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4f…ec14backed Under | 56c | 972.82$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf98a…f376backed Over | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Under | 51c | 951.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.08 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 49c | 949.62$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.3 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 51c | 937.14$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.06 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Over | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 855.12$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.23 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 850.7$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.86 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 50c | 842.28$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.01 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 52c | 816.07$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.36 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 51c | 808.83$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.51 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Over | 17c | 803.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 4c | 785.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over | 69c | 725$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 52c | 724.85$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.92 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 61c | 723.89$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 50c | 715.39$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.7 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 714.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Under | 51c | 693.47$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.82 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 49c | 689.8$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.41 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Under | 58c | 670.93$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.98 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 48c | 643$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.36 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 47c | 625.61$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.46 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 52c | 582.72$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.01 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 1.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.