TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$731,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$749,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under49c447,086$218,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228,255.334957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over51c160,000$81,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,599.8511137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c99,978$50,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,988.821,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over51c60,000$30,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,60014856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c39,425$20,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,106.971,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,30038253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c26,315$13,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,289.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over51c25,000$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,75027747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under50c22,795$11,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,397.525248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over50c22,122$11,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,060.7539842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under49c19,784$9,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,089.675935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Over48c12,488$6,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,017.6312945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over39c11,409$4,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,455.33,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c11,297$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,697.591,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under53c8,558$4,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,036.31,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c8,431$4,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,298.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under51c7,628$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,773.511,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over52c6,981$3,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,625.3463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c6,743$3,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,43921653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under39c6,320$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,846.692,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c5,813$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.051,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Under49c5,552$2,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.544445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over60c5,513$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,289.9110239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Over62c4,723$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,931.722937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c4,573$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.1390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c4,502$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.911,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c4,413$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.632,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over52c3,885$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.179549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under49c3,329$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.865442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over51c3,018$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.247150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c2,770$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.5521943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Over49c2,700$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.991520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over45c2,650$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c2,645$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.841,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e6f…8c21backed Under52c2,442$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.861369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under49c2,369$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.34535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over60c2,298$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.5989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over8c2,265$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed Over52c2,252$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.872552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over67c2,181$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.6716846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over45c2,140$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.121540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under49c1,956$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.4714940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over51c1,941$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.015945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over49c1,939$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.0120744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Over44c1,930$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.111643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa686…5b61backed Over51c1,903$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.62544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under49c1,899$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.6118343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c1,879$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.5462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under46c1,877$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.412,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c1,708$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.143,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over44c1,654$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.6193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under77c1,602$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.658740.2%35 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Over34c1,576$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.673231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Under50c1,575$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+108.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under33c1,507$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.7217249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under51c1,413$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.2914441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b07…98a7backed Over46c1,409$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.953452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over51c1,403$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.7334850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over50c1,387$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.041,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf444…8bb9backed Over50c1,351$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.171942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c1,245$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.1644740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over51c1,236$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.0920051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under71c1,115$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.672,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under65c1,025$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.641266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under48c1,010$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.211239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.485635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c4f…ec14backed Under56c972.82$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.041764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+43.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf98a…f376backed Over51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.32832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Under51c951.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.087048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under49c949.62$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.332150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over51c937.14$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.0614052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Over52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.66656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over50c855.12$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.231,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under49c850.7$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.8614251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under50c842.28$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0116642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over52c816.07$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3617047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over51c808.83$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.5121550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over17c803.53$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.145738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38484342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over4c785.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4131222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over69c725$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over52c724.85$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9232351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under61c723.89$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.511242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under50c715.39$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.731046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c714.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.565,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Under51c693.47$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.8210245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over49c689.8$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4128838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Under58c670.93$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9813852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under48c643$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.3619745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over47c625.61$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4623251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30625155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over49c593.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8213547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over52c582.72$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0133251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.