TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6a1…b1ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
473
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Boxing, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10120.8%21 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.98
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.98
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$71.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+342.8%+$168.85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.59
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.49
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.72
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.43
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.86
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+428.5%+$526.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.36
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.35
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST6913%9 W · 60 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$189.52
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+545.2%+$338
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$65.2
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.4
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$29.74
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$362.4
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+530.5%+$841.7
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$42.4
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$121.3
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$109
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$74.7
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32.7
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$859.99
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+354.2%+$1,954.49
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$276.14
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$318
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT6349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.04
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.68
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$1,490
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$331
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$524.54
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.34
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$356.58
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$213.24
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$608.17
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$23.56
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$511
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,507Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$1,486.96
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104%+$403.69
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.29
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$21.87
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-2.5)backed Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.43
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-14.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
Spread: Florida Gators (-35.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.74
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-5.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.28
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT3215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$214
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.33
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$59.09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,682Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.7%+$795.42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.9%+$176.65
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$189
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$203.16
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$262.05
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$252
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.6
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$26.32
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33.6
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$70.86
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$125.1
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+376.2%+$237
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$72.9
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$53.46
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$189.6
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+536.9%+$1,686
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.62
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$349
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$91.5
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,594.9%+$188.19
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$298
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.37
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.6
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$489.99
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.12
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$399.09
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.02
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$542.91
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$186.87
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.1
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$338
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.43
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$29.07
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.92
Spread: Raptors (-22.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.35
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.87
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.43
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$36.66
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$874.7
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,594.76
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.14
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$36
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$63.18
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.7%+$59.59
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37.51
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$254
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$431.2
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$77.99
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,773Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+157.8%+$2,797.76
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$165
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.62
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$137.38
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$474.47
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.41
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$74.09
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.99
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$212.35
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.41
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$236.14
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$168.97
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$183.3
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.89
All 18 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-74.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+306.5%+$376.99
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.2
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.2
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.1
Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.44
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$610
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.98
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.32
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.99
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.77
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$50
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$489.98
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$207.43
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$135.65
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.53
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.38
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$187.99
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$238
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+614.3%+$344
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+448.4%+$200.48
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$890.49
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.99
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$377.54
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+148.9%+$1,555.41
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$702.08
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+387%+$55.73
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.85
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$276
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+178%+$521.17
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$376.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$864
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,376Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,224
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$138
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.04
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.07
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+399%+$209.69
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$85.79
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$250.75
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$41.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,150.12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$473.18
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+57%+$129.7
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+57.3%+$26.21
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.34
Will Tesla reach $450 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$194.88
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$232
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$43.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+251.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $700M and $750M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+45.5%+$15.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.