MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7384654f9775dfb57810d62ae17ac22391b6f548824ead3e870a8f2425373dfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 10,424$5,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.72 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 8,032$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.9 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 6,889$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.99 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 48c | 5,867$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.83 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 20c | 3,378$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.97 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,957$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.62 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 2,540$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.59 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 2,045$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.4 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 1,785$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.55 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 1,465$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.11 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 71c | 1,079$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 962.42$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 941.28$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.86 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 55c | 648.51$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.83 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 594.3$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.04 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 587.1$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.16 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 50c | 571.25$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.63 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 58c | 512.91$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 54c | 504.29$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 51c | 463.96$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.34 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 49c | 439.2$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.21 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 425.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 63c | 310.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Under | 8c | 307.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +317.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 49c | 254.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 46c | 244.34$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 52c | 242.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…cddbbacked Over | 9c | 216.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…461ebacked Over | 5c | 201.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 48c | 200.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 55c | 198.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 185$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 48c | 155.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 51c | 135.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 134.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 110.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 46c | 103.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 52c | 99.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 45c | 95.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 48c | 87.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 46c | 83.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 46c | 81.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 46c | 81.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 46c | 81.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 46c | 81.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 46c | 81.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 46c | 81.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 46c | 81.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 31c | 81.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 47c | 72.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 60.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 48c | 60.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Under | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 49c | 59.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 45c | 57.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 50.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Under | 25c | 46.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 41.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…a9dabacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 51c | 38.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…8945backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 45c | 36.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 35.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 56c | 35.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 64c | 33.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 36c | 29.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…c1a5backed Under | 48c | 29.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 50c | 26.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 69c | 15.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.