MLB · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8abfc87fd554c04a92fdea754673cfac77b8235a556f4458ad252c3b26ed134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Pittsburgh Pirates, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 79,267$43,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,670.12 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 53,722$24,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,175 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 14,464$6,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,609.09 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 10,720$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.32 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 9,908$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.95 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 9,690$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.66 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 8,468$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 7,419$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 5,635$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.54 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 3,583$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.45 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 3,559$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.35 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,800$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,304$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.73 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,170$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.35 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,150$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.33 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.95 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7637…b6abbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,000$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.34 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 78c | 984.68$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 851.57$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.21 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 21c | 791.38$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 685.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.41 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 22c | 667.66$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 643.78$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 632.76$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.95 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 632.16$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 555$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 28c | 352.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 338.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 304.05$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 257.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 229.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 224.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…6559backed Washington Nationals | 80c | 186.02$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 164.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 157$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 149$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 143.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 135.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2e…289dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 111.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 104.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 94.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 93.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…05d7backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 88.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 78.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 76.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 73.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 72.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 27c | 69.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 67.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 57.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 55.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…a68cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…07d1backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 50.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 50.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 49.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 49.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 49.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 44.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 42.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 41.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 38.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 35.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 34.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 32.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 32.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 24.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 24.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…4903backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 23.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf14b…0c44backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 20.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…ab1fbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 20.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 20.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)this page
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.