MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a9b83dab39ea7a5b47be41356d18f885aeed9685c4149362f9ed0283ef541b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 42,874$15,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,979.48 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 39,430$18,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,731.48 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 38,802$24,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,445 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 36,375$18,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,221.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 24,703$9,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,068.57 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 18,883$11,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,518.42 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 15,246$8,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,849.41 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 14,258$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,982.46 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 6,608$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.92 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 5,493$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.31 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 4,656$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 4,578$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.09 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 3,961$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.21 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 3,871$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.15 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 3,781$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.58 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 3,706$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.09 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 3,599$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.47 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 3,219$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.14 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a671backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 3,100$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…646bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 2,715$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 2,541$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 2,138$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.27 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.94 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 1,981$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.28 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 1,902$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.29 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,897$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 1,805$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.43 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 1,714$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.6 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 1,420$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.78 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 1,408$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.31 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 1,354$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.47 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,321$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.21 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 1,316$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.2 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 1,273$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.28 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 1,250$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.47 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,248$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.23 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,219$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 1,178$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.14 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,159$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.25 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,151$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.35 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,145$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 1,100$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.79 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 1,097$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 1,051$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.67 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,034$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.86 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,030$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.02 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 997.68$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.18 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 966.26$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.55 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 963.4$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.67 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…b708backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 947.2$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 930.35$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 888.44$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.85 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 861.28$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.16 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 836.32$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.25 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 827.91$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.66 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 810.81$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.72 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 799.93$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.36 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…0a80backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 776.03$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 16c | 774.16$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 761.12$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.67 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 752.69$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 725.49$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.83 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 690.68$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.29 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 679.37$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.95 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 571.02$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 15c | 560.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 549.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.38 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 530.55$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.61 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 528.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 527.09$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 28c | 514.14$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 509.16$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 500.3$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 500$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 499.96$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.97 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…28c7backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…3892backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 493.35$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 491$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 440$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…57c3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 439.08$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 431.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.13 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 429.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…a450backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 428.07$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 427.45$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.45 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f5…fb4abacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 410.64$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 399.7$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.01 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…073dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 399.55$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 390.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 388.02$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.45 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 384.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 370.41$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 367.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 365.52$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…e514backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 365.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 339.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.79 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 339.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.79 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.