TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xddaa…e514

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT4445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Daniel Altmaier vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.81
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.15
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabherbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.94
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.78
Rome: Remy Bertola vs Filip Jianubacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.16
Gwangju: August Holmgren vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.95
Gwangju: Pavel Kotov vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.28
Shymkent: Dali Blanch vs Denis Yevseyevbacked Dali Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.37
Madrid Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.63
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$236.65
Madrid Open, Qualification: Viktoriya Tomova vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkovabacked Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$118.74
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Maximus Jonesbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Madrid Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$57.01
Rublev vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$107.6
Elena Rybakina vs. Karolina Muchova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.9
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Ben Sheltonbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.9
Oeiras 3: Petra Marcinko vs Sinja Krausbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.64
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.86
Bondar vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$106.09
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$69.14
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.75
Kostyuk vs. Li: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+119%+$225.71
Fils vs. Musetti: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.65
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.11
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-74.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.85
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$291.92
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$112.84
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.38
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.35
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+53%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.43
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$112.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$482.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$181.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.