Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d90c66d16447dc9237466d4b7531e52aa52662ceba36c30c2c38ffe2457e0db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaerof Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Francesco Maestrelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francesco Maestrelli | 24c | 24,657$6,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,013.59 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 55c | 21,868$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,768.6 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Maestrelli | 38c | 14,153$5,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,332.18 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 6,977$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.1 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 6,509$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.54 | 595 | 53.8%320 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 64c | 4,700$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.99 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Francesco Maestrelli | 34c | 4,370$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.37 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 32c | 4,000$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.16 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 76c | 3,697$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.33 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Francesco Maestrelli | 41c | 3,533$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.86 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 39c | 3,040$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.19 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 53c | 2,915$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.24 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 49c | 2,778$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.04 | 713 | 29.7%212 W · 501 L | -39.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa746…f007backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 2,739$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 65c | 1,925$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.3 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Francesco Maestrelli | 36c | 1,905$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.85 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 67c | 1,780$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.53 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…7633backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 1,549$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Francesco Maestrelli | 10c | 1,464$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.89 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 1,074$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.44 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…7894backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…2941backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…9f90backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 987.71$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.08 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x910c…8decbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 36c | 961.6$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 950$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 949.79$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 57c | 901.81$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.48 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Francesco Maestrelli | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Francesco Maestrelli | 28c | 765.45$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 60c | 697.04$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.04 | 477 | 56.6%270 W · 207 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 63c | 694.53$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.42 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 38c | 616.44$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.25 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Francesco Maestrelli | 34c | 599.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Francesco Maestrelli | 24c | 589.15$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Francesco Maestrelli | 32c | 573.02$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Francesco Maestrelli | 45c | 528.08$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.37 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 435 | 47.4%206 W · 229 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 78c | 461.55$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Francesco Maestrelli | 28c | 431.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 406.06$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.05 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…e514backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 40c | 394.42$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.65 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 365 | 57.5%210 W · 155 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 379.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d010backed Francesco Maestrelli | 9c | 366.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…8a0abacked Francesco Maestrelli | 47c | 350.2$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 69c | 349.07$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 62c | 347.67$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 1,920 | 55.4%1,064 W · 856 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Francesco Maestrelli | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Francesco Maestrelli | 51c | 324.3$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.33 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 19c | 324.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 398 | 45.5%181 W · 217 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 321.08$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 590 | 65.4%386 W · 204 L | -16.3wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 33c | 311.22$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 59c | 307.76$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Francesco Maestrelli | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 271 | 31.4%85 W · 186 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 51c | 293.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Francesco Maestrelli | 36c | 270.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 77c | 266.27$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 277 | 32.1%89 W · 188 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 265.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 25c | 263.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 251.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 1,020 | 49.9%509 W · 511 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 79c | 250.83$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Francesco Maestrelli | 39c | 237.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Francesco Maestrelli | 41c | 235.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 232.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Francesco Maestrelli | 64c | 229.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 1,667 | 52.8%881 W · 786 L | +43.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1b…67d3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 228.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 227.73$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 227.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 41c | 225.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Francesco Maestrelli | 39c | 225.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 255 | 57.3%146 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 51c | 221.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 36c | 215.59$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Francesco Maestrelli | 41c | 202.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…a2c7backed Francesco Maestrelli | 65c | 197.31$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 50c | 192.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Francesco Maestrelli | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Francesco Maestrelli | 21c | 171.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 866 | 35.5%307 W · 559 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 39c | 161.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 156.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 37c | 150.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Francesco Maestrelli | 38c | 150.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 148.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Francesco Maestrelli | 57c | 143.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Francesco Maestrelli | 41c | 142.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francesco Maestrelli | 23c | 120.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Francesco Maestrelli | 36c | 118.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 22c | 117.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Francesco Maestrelli | 41c | 115.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 1,141 | 47.2%539 W · 602 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Francesco Maestrelli | 29c | 106.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Francesco Maestrelli | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Francesco Maestrelli | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrellithis page
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Francesco Maestrelli: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs MaestrelliKjaer won
- Set Handicap: Kjaer (-1.5) vs Maestrelli (+1.5)Kjaer won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.