TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc794…d010

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT3119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Savannah: Michael Antonius vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Mitchell Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$11.76
Madrid Open, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Ksenia Efremovabacked Ksenia Efremova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$12.67
Savannah: Andres Martin vs Clement Taburbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dalma Galfi vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.21
Abidjan: Aziz Dougaz vs Paul Jubbbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.68
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabherbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Madrid Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus Williamsbacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.06
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Maxim Mrvabacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.69
Rome: Dan Added vs Arthur Ferybacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Oeiras 4: Linda Klimovicova vs Angelina Voloshchukbacked Angelina Voloshchuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Savannah: Tyler Zink vs Braden Shickbacked Tyler Zink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
Madrid Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Daria Snigurbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Madrid Open, Qualification: Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
Rome: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Rome: Remy Bertola vs Filip Jianubacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Gwangju: August Holmgren vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Gwangju: Alex Bolt vs Ilia Simakinbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.45
Savannah: Hynek Barton vs Daniel Galanbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Savannah: Liam Draxl vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$46.92
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.78
Madrid Open, Qualification: Zsombor Piros vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.16
Savannah: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Madrid Open, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+185.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,846%+$286.13
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.93
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+161.5%+$52.47
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+589.6%+$98.33
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+254%+$264.71
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.28
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+294%+$52.7
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+202.1%+$52.04
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.95
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.33
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+139.1%+$17.89
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.